Stoke City vs Bradford City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Stoke City - Bradford City
Result
0:3
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Stoke City - Bradford City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.97
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
83% (396/477)72% (228/316)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.052.34
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
730
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
83% (396/477)72% (228/316)
Long passes
36% (20/55)38% (27/72)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)59% (69/116)
Crosses
20% (4/20)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.61
Throw-ins
3326
Fouls
1214
Tackles
54% (7/13)81% (21/26)
Duels won
5160
Clearances
3636
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.340.05
Goals prevented
-0.660.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Swan W. , Wright T. (A),
  • 31', 0 - 2, Halliday B. , Lapslie G. (A),
  • 39', Kelly C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
  • 61', Metcalfe J. , Pattison A. ,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Lapslie G. ,
  • 63', Lawal B. , Seko T. ,
  • 63', Talovierov M. , Gibson B. ,
  • 72', Pearson B. , Smith W. ,
  • 76', Wright T. , Pointon B. ,
  • 76', Lapslie G. , Neufville J. ,
  • 76', Swan W. , Powell N. ,

Chances of winning


Stoke City
44.6%
Draw
28.2%
Bradford City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 23.3% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 22.4% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.
  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stoke City - Bradford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (1.73)
    3.72
    (4.07)
    3.81
    (4.34)
    -5.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Stoke City - Bradford City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bradford (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stoke is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Bradford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bradford has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stoke is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N. (Knee Injury) Cook A. (Knee Injury) Wright J. (Eye injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Cisse L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Stoke will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stoke City
    23.08.2025 Southampton - Stoke City 1:2
    12.08.2025 Stoke City - Walsall 1:0
    09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    Latest results of Bradford City
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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