Afturelding vs Stjarnan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Icelandic Besta-deild karla Afturelding - Stjarnan
Result
3:0
05/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Besta deild karla - Round 5
  • Referee: Twana A. K. (Irq)
Afturelding - Stjarnan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.54
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
129
Passes
77% (226/292)87% (390/448)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.55
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
129
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
77% (226/292)87% (390/448)
Long passes
62% (41/66)59% (34/58)
Passes in final third
65% (52/80)77% (122/158)
Crosses
14% (3/22)34% (14/41)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.59
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1013
Tackles
45% (5/11)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
3627
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.551.85
Goals prevented
0.55-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Magnusson H. , Cogic E. (A),
  • 38', Fridjonsson S. , Matthiasson D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Atlason E. 🟨,
  • 55', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Bjarnason G. , Andresson A. (A),
  • 61', Gudlaugsson B. , Barkarson J. H. ,
  • 61', Eggertsson O. , Adolphsson A. ,
  • 61', Nokkvason G. , Bjarnason A. ,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Johannsson A. , Magnusson H. (A),
  • 66', Sigmarsson G. , Jonsson A. ,
  • 67', Barkarson B. B. 🟨,
  • 78', Hugason S. , Runolfsson B. ,
  • 78', Stokke B. , Hafthorsson T. G. ,
  • 78', Kristjansson G. , Hauksson A. ,
  • 88', Johannsson A. , Jonasson A. ,
  • 88', Barkarson B. B. , Cogic E. ,
  • 90+2', Hauksson A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Afturelding
33.1%
Draw
24.7%
Stjarnan
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 24.8% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 23.9% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Afturelding - Stjarnan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.69)
    3.78
    (3.78)
    2.22
    (2.33)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Afturelding - Stjarnan?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Stjarnan will win! (6 of 7 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Stjarnan were as follows:
    10.02.2023 Stjarnan - Afturelding 4:1
    Latest results of Afturelding
    Latest results of Stjarnan
    23.04.2025 Breiðablik - Stjarnan 2:1
    18.04.2025 Stjarnan - Njarðvík 5:3
    14.04.2025 Stjarnan - Akraness 2:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vikingur Reykjavik531110:4610
    2Vestri53116:2410
    3Breidablik531110:8210
    4KR Reykjavik514015:1057
    5Vestmannaeyjar52126:7-17
    6Afturelding52124:5-17
    7Fram520310:916
    8Valur51318:9-16
    9Stjarnan52037:10-36
    10Akranes52035:9-46
    11Hafnarfjordur51138:804
    12KA Akureyri51136:14-84

          Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
          Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )

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