Stevenage Borough vs Northampton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town
Result
2:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.93
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
62% (162/261)68% (189/278)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.00
Total shots
910
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
62% (162/261)68% (189/278)
Long passes
32% (25/78)41% (30/73)
Passes in final third
59% (80/135)53% (59/112)
Crosses
46% (6/13)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.59
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
1316
Tackles
40% (6/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
7144
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.95
Goals prevented
0.00-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Piergianni C. 🟨,
  • 33', Butler D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', Campbell C. , Patterson P. ,
  • 63', McGeehan C. , Taylor T. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Kemp D. , Houghton J. (A),
  • 77', List E. , Guinness-Walker N. ,
  • 80', White H. , Phillips D. ,
  • 81', Reid J. , Ahadme G. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ahadme G. , Kemp D. (A),
  • 89', Roberts J. , Pattenden J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
54.4%
Draw
27.8%
Northampton Town
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.6% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 27.2% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.8)
    3.39
    (3.42)
    5.21
    (4.75)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
    • Stevenage has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Northampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Stevenage is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Eaves T. (Thigh Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Thorniley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    03.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town 2:0
    26.12.2023 Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town 3:0
    05.08.2023 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 0:1
    01.04.2023 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 1:1
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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