Derby County vs Stevenage Borough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Derby County - Stevenage Borough
Result
1:0
17/02/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Derby County - Stevenage Borough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
44.2%
Draw
27.9%
Stevenage Borough
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.8% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 28.7% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Derby County - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.01)
    3.36
    (3.53)
    3.39
    (3.61)
    6.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 7).
    • Derby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Stevenage is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    28.10.2023 Stevenage Borough - Derby County 3:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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