Result
0:2
05/08/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (30/44) | 83% (39/47) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 46% (11/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/3 | 3/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 17% (8/47) | 32% (14/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 49% (17/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/5 | 3/3 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (48/79) | 70% (50/71) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (21/71) | 39% (31/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (69/150) | 54% (81/150) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Stefanos Tsitsipas
42.8% | Joao Fonseca
57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.19) |
|
1.67
(1.67) |
4.6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 23.00
What is the prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca?
- Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Fonseca will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.2% – 84.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 Sets - Tsitsipas (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 53. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 27.
- Tsitsipas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fonseca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tsitsipas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefanos Tsitsipas won against Joao Fonseca?
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Joao Fonseca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
14.09.2025
Stefanos Tsitsipas
-
Joao Fonseca
1:2
Latest results of Stefanos Tsitsipas
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Arnaldi M. (30) | |
| 5 | Humbert U. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Merida Aguilar D. | Draxl L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Michelsen A. | Struff J-L. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (16) | |
| 9 | Tien L. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Majchrzak K. | Monfils G. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Carreno-Busta P. | Royer V. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Paul T. (17) | |
| 13 | Collignon R. (32) | Bye | |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (Q) | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Chan D. (Q) | Tirante T. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Fritz T. (7) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Giron M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Tabilo A. (25) | |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Atmane T. | Draper J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Fearnley J. (Q) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Mensik J. (13) | |
| 25 | Ruud C. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cerundolo J. M. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Damm M. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Fonseca J. (22) | |
| 29 | Bergs Z. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Baez S. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Walton A. (Q) | Brooksby J. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Shelton B. (5) | |
| 33 | Lehecka J. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Galarneau A. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Munar J. | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Blockx A. (27) | |
| 37 | Jodar R. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Fucsovics M. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Mejia N. (Q) | Landaluce M. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Musetti L. (11) | |
| 41 | Vacherot V. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Berrettini M. | Navone M. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Svajda Z. | Shapovalov D. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Fils A. (18) | |
| 45 | Buse I. (29) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Duckworth J. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | De Minaur A. (3) | |
| 49 | Cobolli F. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Kovacevic A. | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (26) | |
| 53 | Darderi L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Diallo G. (WC) | Jacquet K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Vallejo D. | Shang J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Rublev A. (10) | |
| 57 | Tiafoe F. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Zheng M. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (23) | |
| 61 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 62 | Vukic A. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | van Assche L. | Droguet T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Faria J. | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Arnaldi M. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Humbert U. (24) | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Michelsen A. | Cerundolo F. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Tien L. (12) | Monfils G. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Royer V. | Paul T. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Collignon R. (32) | Popyrin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tirante T. A. | Fritz T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (4) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Hurkacz H. | Tabilo A. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (21) | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Fearnley J. | Mensik J. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (9) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tsitsipas S. | Fonseca J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. (31) | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Brooksby J. | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Lehecka J. (8) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Munar J. | Blockx A. (WO.) (27) | |
| 19 | Jodar R. (20) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Mejia N. | Musetti L. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Vacherot V. (14) | Navone M. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Svajda Z. | Fils A. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Buse I. (29) | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Duckworth J. | De Minaur A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Cobolli F. (6) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Borges N. | Etcheverry T. M. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Darderi L. (19) | Diallo G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Shang J. | Rublev A. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Tiafoe F. (15) | Cilic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Kecmanovic M. | Rinderknech A. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Nakashima B. (28) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Droguet T. | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Arnaldi M. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. | Michelsen A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tien L. (12) | Paul T. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Popyrin A. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Atmane T. | Mensik J. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (9) | Fonseca J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bergs Z. (31) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Lehecka J. (8) | Blockx A. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Jodar R. (20) | Musetti L. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Navone M. | Fils A. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Hanfmann Y. | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Darderi L. (19) | Shang J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Tiafoe F. (RET.) (15) | Rinderknech A. (23) | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Nakashima B. (28) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Griekspoor T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Tien L. (12) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Mensik J. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fonseca J. (22) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (8) | Jodar R. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fils A. (18) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Darderi L. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Rinderknech A. (23) | Nakashima B. (28) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. | Tien L. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mensik J. (13) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jodar R. (20) | Fils A. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Darderi L. (19) | Nakashima B. (28) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tien L. (12) | Shelton B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Jodar R. (20) | Nakashima B. (28) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Shelton B. (5) | Nakashima B. (28) | 2 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Peru | ESPN 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+ |
