Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard Liège: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Den Dreef (Heverlee).

: Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	0.39
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
68% (215/317)	82% (379/462)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	0.02
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
5	3
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
11	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
68% (215/317)	82% (379/462)
Long passes
26% (15/58)	58% (38/65)
Passes in final third
40% (32/80)	68% (75/111)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	0.47
Throw-ins
14	25
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
42% (5/12)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
45	46
Clearances
30	30
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.02	0.48
Goals prevented
0.02	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Ilaimaharitra M. 🟨,
26', Vlietinck T. 🟨,
31', Dierckx D. 🟨,
36', Ominami T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Homawoo J. ↓, Hautekiet I. ↑,
61', Terho C. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
61', Vlietinck T. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Dierckx D. (Own goal),
68', Mohr T. ↓, Abid A. ↑,
69', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
73', Traore A. K. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
73', Lakomy L. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
75', Nielsen C. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
75', Lawrence H. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
79', Fossey M. 🟨,
86', Mijatovic J. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
90+5', Schrijvers S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
42.2%

Draw
30.3%

Standard Liège
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	3.12 ↓ (3.33)	3.45 ↑ (3.23)	5.6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Standard will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 42.8% – 90.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Standard Liège will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 3.
Recent form of Leuven has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Standard has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Leuven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Leuven will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Eckert Ayensa D. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Leuven: Gil O. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Standard Liège?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Standard Liège has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège were as follows:

26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:1

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1

07.12.2024 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

31.08.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 2:0

05.05.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 3:1

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

24.08.2025 Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Standard Liège

23.08.2025 Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge 0:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège 3:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Standard Liège - Dender EH 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 RAAL La Louvière - Standard Liège 0:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14
2	St. Truiden	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14
3	KV Mechelen	6	3	2	1	9:7	2	11
4	Club Brugge KV	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
5	Anderlecht	5	3	0	2	11:7	4	9
6	Antwerp	6	2	3	1	8:7	1	9
7	Cercle Brugge KSV	6	2	2	2	8:6	2	8
8	Genk	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
9	St. Liege	6	2	1	3	5:9	-4	7
10	Leuven	6	2	1	3	6:12	-6	7
11	Westerlo	5	2	0	3	8:11	-3	6
12	Charleroi	5	1	3	1	7:6	1	6
13	Gent	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
15	Waregem	6	1	1	4	7:12	-5	4
16	Dender	6	0	2	4	2:9	-7	2

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza