Zagłębie Lubin vs Stal Mielec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 30
Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	2.77
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
13	22
Shots on target
3	8
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
76% (245/321)	85% (382/450)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	2.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	3.38
Total shots
13	22
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
4	11
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
10	18
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
23	41
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
76% (245/321)	85% (382/450)
Long passes
45% (22/49)	54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
65% (63/97)	63% (63/100)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	59% (10/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.83
Throw-ins
16	23
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
53% (8/15)	57% (4/7)
Duels won
43	45
Clearances
28	25
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
3.38	0.54
Goals prevented
1.38	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Kolan J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Kurminowski D. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
34', Szmyt K. 🟨,
43', Nalepa M. 🟨,
45+1', Kolan J. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kurminowski D. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
54', Radwanski A. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Jaunzems A. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
56', Kadzior D. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
56', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
59', Radwanski A. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Dadok R. ⚽, Wolkowicz K. (A),
66', 2 - 2, Madrzyk J. (Own goal),
75', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
75', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
81', Wlazlo P. ↓, Senger M. ↑,
83', Senger M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Zagłębie Lubin 57.4%

Draw 26.6%

Stal Mielec 16%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Zagłębie Lubin 44.4%

Draw 26.8%

Stal Mielec 28.8%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Zagłębie Lubin 44.5%

Draw 26.7%

Stal Mielec 28.7%

Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.1)	3.66 ↑ (3.48)	5.82 ↑ (3.24)	1.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec?

The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Zagłębie Lubin will win! (10 of 10 users predict this).

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
Recent matches Zagłębie Lubin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Stal Mielec is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stal Mielec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Zagłębie Lubin will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury) Szafranek W. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Stal Mielec: Beauguel J. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.7:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Stal Mielec?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec were as follows:

27.10.2024 Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin 2:2

15.03.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec 0:0

18.09.2023 Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin 4:2

19.05.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec 2:0

04.11.2022 Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Lubin 3:0

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Stal Mielec

22.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 0:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Cracovia 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław 1:4 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rakow	30	18	8	4	45:19	26	62
2	Lech Poznan	30	19	3	8	56:28	28	60
3	Jagiellonia	30	16	7	7	51:38	13	55
4	Pogon Szczecin	30	16	5	9	52:34	18	53
5	Legia	30	14	8	8	55:39	16	50
6	Cracovia	30	12	9	9	52:47	5	45
7	Motor Lublin	30	12	7	11	43:50	-7	43
8	Gornik Zabrze	30	12	6	12	39:35	4	42
9	GKS Katowice	30	12	6	12	41:40	1	42
10	Korona Kielce	30	10	10	10	31:39	-8	40
11	Piast Gliwice	30	9	11	10	31:34	-3	38
12	Widzew Lodz	30	10	7	13	34:43	-9	37
13	Radomiak Radom	30	10	6	14	42:47	-5	36
14	Zaglebie	30	9	6	15	29:44	-15	33
15	Lechia Gdansk	30	8	6	16	34:51	-17	30
16	Puszcza	30	6	9	15	33:49	-16	27
17	Stal Mielec	30	6	8	16	32:48	-16	26
18	Slask Wroclaw	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball