Motor Lublin vs Stal Mielec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec
Result
4:1
30/03/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.24
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
83% (341/413)83% (399/479)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.961.36
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1626
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
83% (341/413)83% (399/479)
Long passes
31% (14/45)64% (37/58)
Passes in final third
68% (70/103)74% (103/139)
Crosses
22% (4/18)41% (12/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.42
Fouls
1610
Tackles
63% (5/8)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3854
Clearances Total
3825
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.362.96
Goals prevented
0.36-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Guillaumier M. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Madrzyk J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Ede B. , Wolski B. (A),
  • 60', Guillaumier M. , Domanski M. ,
  • 60', Kadzior D. , Krykun S. ,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Labojko J. ,
  • 62', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 62', Van Hoeven B. , Ndiaye M. J. ,
  • 69', Najemski A. 🟨,
  • 70', Wojcik F. , Stolarski P. ,
  • 70', Najemski A. , Scalet M. ,
  • 70', Senger M. , Esselink B. ,
  • 71', Dadok R. , Cavaleiro I. ,
  • 78', Simon C. , Sefer A. ,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Mraz S. , Krol M. (A),
  • 83', Assayag R. , Wolsztynski L. ,
  • 90+8', 4 - 1, Wolkowicz K. , Cavaleiro I. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
44.6%
Draw
26.9%
Stal Mielec
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.4% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 26% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.12)
    3.5
    (3.55)
    3.28
    (3.19)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
    • Recent matches Motor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Stal Mielec has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Motor will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Motor: Bartos M. (Yellow Cards) Brkic I. (Knee Injury) Kruk K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury) Kadzior D. (Red Card) Knap K. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Stal Mielec - Motor Lublin 1:0
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
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