Legia Warsaw vs Stal Mielec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec
Result
2:2
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 34
  • Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.07
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
82% (361/439)81% (340/421)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.421.94
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
164
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
3613
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
812
Passes
82% (361/439)81% (340/421)
Long passes
57% (31/54)38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
74% (124/167)73% (35/48)
Crosses
28% (7/25)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.780.45
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
128
Tackles
53% (8/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5036
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.942.42
Goals prevented
-0.060.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Wolsztynski L. (Pen),
  • 59', Shkurin I. , Gual M. ,
  • 60', Goncalves C. , Pekhart T. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Pekhart T. , Gual M. (A),
  • 71', Wolsztynski L. 🟨,
  • 72', Wlazlo P. , Esselink B. ,
  • 72', Gerbowski F. , Dadok R. ,
  • 72', Wolsztynski L. , Kadzior D. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Matras M. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Wszolek P. , Elitim J. (A),
  • 83', Knap K. , Tkacz D. ,
  • 86', Elitim J. , Wyganowski A. ,
  • 87', Matras M. 🟨,
  • 88', Luquinhas , Kucharczyk M. ,
  • 90', Jaunzems A. , Zieba D. ,
  • 90+4', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Jalocha K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
68.4%
Draw
18.1%
Stal Mielec
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 19.4% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 18.9% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.41)
    5.17
    (4.83)
    6.93
    (6.51)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 23 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Ziolkowski J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury) Pajnowski K. (Inactive) Tkacz D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 2:2
    28.04.2024 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 1:3
    29.10.2023 Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec 1:3
    12.03.2023 Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec 2:0
    26.08.2022 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 360, Ekstraklasa TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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