Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - St. Pauli
Result
1:1
08/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
Wolfsburg - St. Pauli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.44
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1614
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
96
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
32
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1820
Touches in the Opposition Box
2623
Passes
84% (407/486)76% (263/346)
Passes in the final third
72% (99/138)63% (58/92)
Crosses
39% (7/18)26% (5/19)
Tackles
75% (6/8)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
1426
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Van Der Heyden S. , Irvine J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ritzka L. , Saliakas M. ,
  • 46', Afolayan O. , Saad E. ,
  • 46', Fischer K. , Roerslev Rasmussen M. ,
  • 46', Svanberg M. , Arnold M. ,
  • 46', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 63', Skov Olsen A. , Kaminski J. ,
  • 63', Wind J. , Dardai B. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Amoura M. (Pen),
  • 71', Weisshaupt N. , Boukhalfa C. ,
  • 79', Tomas T. , Behrens K. ,
  • 90+4', Sinani D. , Eggestein J. ,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg 52.1%Draw 26.9%St. Pauli 20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Wolfsburg 56%Draw 24.2%St. Pauli 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Wolfsburg 58.2%Draw 23.3%St. Pauli 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Wolfsburg - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(1.72)
3.58
(3.97)
4.6
(4.86)
3.8%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - St. Pauli?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Wolfsburg will win! (31 of 38 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Recent matches Wolfsburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • St. Pauli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Wolfsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Wolfsburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Grabara K. (Thigh Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Nmecha L. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Rogerio (Knee Injury) Wimmer P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Boukhalfa C. (Inactive) Mets K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - St. Pauli were as follows:
    26.10.2024 St. Pauli - Wolfsburg 0:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    22.02.2025 Wolfsburg - Bochum 1:1
    15.02.2025 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 1:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 31236290:296175
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 311910266:353167
    3Eintracht Frankfurt31167862:422055
    4Freiburg311561044:47-351
    5RB Leipzig311310848:42649
    6Dortmund311461160:491148
    7Mainz311381048:39947
    8Werder Bremen311371148:54-646
    9B. Monchengladbach311351351:50144
    10Augsburg3111101033:42-943
    11Stuttgart311181256:51541
    12Wolfsburg311091253:48539
    13Union Berlin31991331:45-1436
    14St. Pauli31871626:36-1031
    15Hoffenheim31791540:58-1830
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel31571945:74-2922
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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