Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.64
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Goal Attempts
12	13
Shots on Goal
6	3
Shots off Goal
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Free Kicks
5	8
Corner Kicks
5	1
Offsides
3	0
Throw-ins
10	7
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
Fouls
15	11
Red Cards
0	1
Yellow Cards
3	3
Total Passes
423	505
Completed Passes
349	430
Tackles
19	25
Attacks
82	112
Dangerous Attacks
43	49
Clearances Completed
29	11
Crosses Completed
5	5
Interceptions
6	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Muheim M. 🟨,
45+4', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Meffert J. 🟨,
69', Baumgart S. 🟨,
71', Poreba L. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
78', Eggestein J. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
79', Saliakas M. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽,
86', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
86', Metcalfe C. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
86', Kemlein A. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
87', Meffert J. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
89', Afolayan O. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
90+3', Dompe J. ↓, Oztunali L. ↑,
90+3', Glatzel R. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
90+7', Saliakas M. 🟨,
90+7', Reis L. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
42.2%

Draw
25.8%

St. Pauli
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamburger SV - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.96 ↑ (2.47)	5.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?

The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Hamburger SV will win! (16 of 19 users predict this).

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against St. Pauli?

Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hamburger SV?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - St. Pauli were as follows:

01.12.2023 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 2:2

21.04.2023 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 4:3

14.10.2022 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 3:0

Latest results of Hamburger SV

27.04.2024 Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV 0:4 ✺

20.04.2024 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

14.04.2024 Magdeburg - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺

06.04.2024 Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern 2:1 ✺

31.03.2024 Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

26.04.2024 St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock 1:0 ✺

21.04.2024 Hannover - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

14.04.2024 St. Pauli - Elversberg 3:4 ✺

06.04.2024 Karlsruher - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺

31.03.2024 St. Pauli - Paderborn 2:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hamburger SV ✔	33	16	11	6	76:41	35	59
2	FC Koln	33	17	7	9	49:38	11	58
3	Elversberg	33	15	10	8	62:36	26	55
4	Paderborn	33	15	10	8	56:43	13	55
5	Dusseldorf	33	14	11	8	55:48	7	53
6	Kaiserslautern	33	15	8	10	56:51	5	53
7	Magdeburg	33	13	11	9	60:50	10	50
8	Hannover	33	13	11	9	40:35	5	50
9	Karlsruher SC	33	13	10	10	54:55	-1	49
10	Nurnberg	33	13	6	14	56:56	0	45
11	Hertha Berlin	33	12	7	14	48:50	-2	43
12	Darmstadt	33	10	9	14	53:54	-1	39
13	Schalke	33	10	8	15	51:60	-9	38
14	Greuther Furth	33	9	9	15	42:57	-15	36
15	Preussen Munster	33	8	11	14	38:41	-3	35
16	Braunschweig	33	8	11	14	37:60	-23	35
17	Ulm ✔	33	6	11	16	34:46	-12	29
18	Regensburg ✔	33	6	7	20	22:68	-46	25

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Hamburger SV is Qualified for Bundesliga
Ulm is Relegated to 3. Liga
Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga

Which TV channels are streaming of Hamburger SV - St. Pauli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports