Result
0:3
06/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
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Chances of winning
Darmstadt
47.1% | Draw
26.4% | St. Pauli
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Darmstadt - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.13) |
3.57 ↑
(3.57) |
3.53 ↑
(3.28) |
5.8%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 5).
- Darmstadt has the most likely position - 1 (79.13%), project points - 71, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (79%).
- St. Pauli has the most likely position - 6 (37.13%), project points - 56, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 40, importance 54, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2.
- Darmstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches St. Pauli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Darmstadt will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against St. Pauli?
Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Darmstadt?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - St. Pauli were as follows:
29.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Darmstadt
1:1
Latest results of Darmstadt
Latest results of St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Schalke | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hannover | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Darmstadt - St. Pauli?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1 |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
