Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Arena (Munich).

: Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.53	0.96
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
9	4
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (625/699)	80% (279/348)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
3.05	1.86
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
16	5
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
43	17
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
4	13
Passes
89% (625/699)	80% (279/348)
Long passes
54% (25/46)	50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
78% (159/205)	66% (57/87)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.47	0.85
Fouls
13	4
Tackles
79% (11/14)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
35	48
Clearances Total
20	27
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.86	3.05
Goals prevented
-0.14	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Guerreiro R. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Saad E. ⚽, Saliakas M. (A),
45+4', Olise M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Goretzka L. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
51', Palhinha J. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Sane L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
58', Guerreiro R. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
59', Dzwigala A. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Sane L. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
72', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
78', Musiala J. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
83', Saliakas M. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
83', Sinani D. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
85', Laimer K. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
85', Kane H. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Ritzka L. ⚽, Nemeth D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bayern Munich
84.3%

Draw
10.7%

St. Pauli
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.5%

11.8%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Bayern Munich - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.17)	9.09 ↑ (8.2)	19.78 ↑ (16.78)	3.2% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - St. Pauli?

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.9% – 89.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
Bayern is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches St. Pauli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Bayern is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Pavlovic A. (Illness) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Van Der Heyden S. (Calf Injury) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Bayern: Coman K. (Thigh Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayern won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against St. Pauli?

Bayern Munich has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bayern Munich?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - St. Pauli were as follows:

09.11.2024 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:1

Latest results of Bayern Munich

15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bochum 2:3 ✺

05.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

19.03.2025 Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺

14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - St. Pauli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia