Derry City vs St Patricks Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Derry City - St Patricks Athletic
Result
1:0
05/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 14
Derry City - St Patricks Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.58
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
78% (279/357)78% (353/450)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.77
Total shots
109
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1610
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
613
Passes
78% (279/357)78% (353/450)
Long passes
37% (22/59)52% (44/85)
Passes in final third
69% (89/129)63% (80/127)
Crosses
10% (1/10)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.48
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
136
Tackles
70% (14/20)81% (29/36)
Duels won
4367
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.771.38
Goals prevented
0.770.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', McMullan P. 🟨,
  • 37', Ferguson S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Mullen D. , O'Reilly A. (A),
  • 61', Grivosti T. 🟨,
  • 63', Grivosti T. , Hoare S. ,
  • 63', Mullen D. , Boyce L. ,
  • 63', Ferguson S. , Todd S. ,
  • 63', Baggley B. , Keena A. ,
  • 63', Mulraney J. , Forrester C. ,
  • 73', Leavy K. , Power S. ,
  • 74', McMullan P. , Whyte G. ,
  • 74', Winchester C. , Benson R. ,
  • 75', Breslin A. 🟨,
  • 76', Melia M. , Kavanagh B. ,
  • 78', Duffy M. , Thomas D. ,
  • 90+4', Redmond J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derry City
40.2%
Draw
30%
St Patricks Athletic
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 30.5% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 29.7% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Derry City - St Patricks Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.34)
    3.13
    (3.08)
    3.15
    (3.23)
    6.6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derry City - St Patricks Athletic?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Derry might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Derry: Diallo S. (Injury) Doherty B. (Inactive) Dummigan C. (Hamstring Injury) Hoban P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in St Patricks: Keena A. (Hamstring Injury) Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury) Sjoberg A. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
    03.03.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 2:0
    25.10.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 1:0
    21.07.2024 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 3:0
    17.05.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 0:1
    22.04.2024 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 3:1
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers1685327:151229
    2Derry City1683521:18327
    3Bohemians1690720:18227
    4St. Patricks1674523:16725
    5Drogheda1667322:17525
    6Shelbourne1657418:17122
    7Waterford1670916:26-1021
    8Galway1655619:20-120
    9Cork City1626819:28-912
    10Sligo Rovers16331020:30-1012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Derry City - St Patricks Athletic?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    irelandIrelandLOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomVirgin TV Go app
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