Derry City vs St Patricks Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry).

: Premier Division - Round 14

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.36	0.58
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
78% (279/357)	78% (353/450)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.38	0.77
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
16	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
6	13
Passes
78% (279/357)	78% (353/450)
Long passes
37% (22/59)	52% (44/85)
Passes in final third
69% (89/129)	63% (80/127)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.48
Throw-ins
27	25
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
70% (14/20)	81% (29/36)
Duels won
43	67
Clearances
34	17
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
0.77	1.38
Goals prevented
0.77	0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', McMullan P. 🟨,
37', Ferguson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Mullen D. ⚽, O'Reilly A. (A),
61', Grivosti T. 🟨,
63', Grivosti T. ↓, Hoare S. ↑,
63', Mullen D. ↓, Boyce L. ↑,
63', Ferguson S. ↓, Todd S. ↑,
63', Baggley B. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
63', Mulraney J. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
73', Leavy K. ↓, Power S. ↑,
74', McMullan P. ↓, Whyte G. ↑,
74', Winchester C. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
75', Breslin A. 🟨,
76', Melia M. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
78', Duffy M. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
90+4', Redmond J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Derry City
40.2%

Draw
30%

St Patricks Athletic
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Derry City - St Patricks Athletic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	6.6% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Derry City - St Patricks Athletic?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Derry might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Derry: Diallo S. (Injury) Doherty B. (Inactive) Dummigan C. (Hamstring Injury) Hoban P. (Injury)
There will not play in St Patricks: Keena A. (Hamstring Injury) Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury) Sjoberg A. (Red Card)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against St Patricks Athletic?

Derry City has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Derry City?

St Patricks Athletic has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:

03.03.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 2:0

25.10.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 1:0

21.07.2024 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 3:0

17.05.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Derry City 0:1

22.04.2024 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 3:1

Latest results of Derry City

02.05.2025 Derry City - Shelbourne 2:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Waterford United - Derry City 2:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Derry City - Sligo Rovers 3:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Galway United - Derry City 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Derry City - Drogheda United 1:3 ✺

Latest results of St Patricks Athletic

02.05.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Galway United 2:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic 2:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic 0:0 ✺

18.04.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers 2:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Cork City - St Patricks Athletic 0:2 ✺

Irish Premier Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	20	11	6	3	35:17	18	39
2	Bohemians	19	11	0	8	23:19	4	33
3	Drogheda	20	7	10	3	25:19	6	31
4	St. Patricks	20	8	6	6	26:22	4	30
5	Derry City	19	8	4	7	23:22	1	28
6	Shelbourne	20	6	9	5	23:22	1	27
7	Galway	19	6	7	6	22:22	0	25
8	Waterford	19	7	2	10	20:31	-11	23
9	Sligo Rovers	19	4	3	12	23:34	-11	15
10	Cork City	19	2	7	10	21:33	-12	13

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Premier Division (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Derry City - St Patricks Athletic?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ireland	LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
United-kingdom	Virgin TV Go app