Result
2:3 penalties
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 23', Richardson J. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Mandron M. ⚽, Richardson J. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Deas R. ⚽, Thompson D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Baccus K. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Richardson J. ⚽,
- 60', Daniels D. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 72', Mayo L. 🟨,
- 75', O'Hara M. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
- 76', Deas R. 🟨,
- 78', Polworth L. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 83', Brown J. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
- 83', Deas R. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Anderson B. (Pen),
- 89', Ayunga J. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
- 89', Baccus K. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
- 90', Kiltie G. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 97', Richardson J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
- 97', Mandron M. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 110', Stanger G. ↓, Williams Z. ↑,
- 120', Watson D. 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 5)
- 1, King R. (Pen),
- 1, Anderson B. (Pen),
- 2, Idowu R. (Pen),
- 2, Watkins M. (Pen),
- 3, Donnelly L. (Pen),
- 3, Thompson D. (Pen),
- 4, N'Lundulu D. (Pen),
- 4, Magennis K. (Pen),
- 5, Dijksteel M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
15.3% | Draw
31.7% | St. Mirren
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kilmarnock's form might have worsened.St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Mirren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+24.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-20.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Mirren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kilmarnock - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.44 ↑
(2.37) |
3.57 ↑
(3.38) |
2.07 ↓
(2.85) |
-11.7%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 3.
- Kilmarnock has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Mirren is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Kilmarnock?
St. Mirren has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - St. Mirren were as follows:
29.03.2025
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
5:1
02.01.2025
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
2:0
14.09.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
11.05.2024
St. Mirren
-
Kilmarnock
0:1
16.03.2024
Kilmarnock
-
St. Mirren
5:2
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of St. Mirren
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Morton | Aberdeen | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | Motherwell | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | Dundee Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | St. Mirren | Hearts | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Partick Thistle | Ayr | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Celtic | Falkirk | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Rangers | Alloa | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Livingston | Hibernian | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Aberdeen | Motherwell | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Kilmarnock | St. Mirren | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | Celtic | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Rangers | Hibernian | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Motherwell | St. Mirren | |
| 2 | Celtic | Rangers | |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Kilmarnock - St. Mirren?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV, Premier Sports Player, St Mirren TV |
