Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
  • 56', Sandnes G. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ⚽,
  • 63', Glover C. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
  • 65', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
  • 72', McSorley B. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
  • 72', Orozco J. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
  • 77', Kuzain W. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
  • 77', Antwi S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%		Draw
23.6%		St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (1.99)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.73)    		 2.69 ↓
    (3.21)    		 7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    23.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 1:4
    15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3
    02.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1
    06.04.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 0:1
    30.03.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Austin II 1:0
    14.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5Toronto FC II16604618:2522
    6New York City II16523630:3322
    7Cincinnati 216270715:2320
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy16335523:2720
    5Carolina Core16334620:2119
    6Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    7Atlanta United 214225519:2315


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2171210436:2438
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II16533519:2024
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8Toronto FC II16604618:2522
    9New York City II16523630:3322
    10Crown Legacy16335523:2720
    11Cincinnati 216270715:2320
    12Carolina Core16334620:2119
    13Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    14Atlanta United 214225519:2315
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2171210436:2438
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II16533519:2024
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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