Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
  • 56', Sandnes G. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ⚽,
  • 63', Glover C. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
  • 65', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
  • 72', McSorley B. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
  • 72', Orozco J. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
  • 77', Kuzain W. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
  • 77', Antwi S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%		Draw
23.6%		St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (1.99)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.73)    		 2.69 ↓
    (3.21)    		 7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    23.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 1:4
    15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3
    02.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1
    06.04.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 0:1
    30.03.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Austin II 1:0
    14.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II14521627:3020
    3New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    4Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    5Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    6Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    7Cincinnati 21113079:189
    8Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Orlando City B12610519:2320
    3Huntsville11431323:1319
    4Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    5Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    6Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    7Carolina Core10223316:1513


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    4Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    5Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    7Real Monarchs9313218:1514


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas12611420:2321
    4Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    5Minnesota 29402316:1214
    6Austin FC II1122349:1313
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Orlando City B12610519:2320
    4New York City II14521627:3020
    5Huntsville11431323:1319
    6New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    7Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    8Chicago Fire II11501422:2117
    9Toronto FC II12403512:1715
    10Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    11Inter Miami II13402722:2914
    12Atlanta United 212224419:2214
    13Carolina Core10223316:1513
    14Cincinnati 21113079:189
    15Columbus Crew 210202610:208


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County12710423:1923
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas12611420:2321
    5Houston Dynamo 212530419:1521
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Tacoma Defiance11510526:2417
    8Los Angeles FC II11411519:2215
    9Portland Timbers 212411619:2715
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 212330625:2415
    11Minnesota 29402316:1214
    12Real Monarchs9313218:1514
    13Austin FC II1122349:1313
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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