Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.73	1.23
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
82% (284/347)	84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.16	0.96
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
18	37
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
82% (284/347)	84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)	57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)	67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.38
Throw-ins
18	26
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
90% (9/10)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
37	26
Clearances
35	5
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
0.96	2.16
Goals prevented
-0.04	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Robles D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
56', Sandnes G. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ⚽,
63', Glover C. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
65', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
72', McSorley B. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
72', Orozco J. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
77', Kuzain W. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
77', Antwi S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
87', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
41.8%

Draw
23.6%

St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

23.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.99)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)	2.69 ↓ (3.21)	7.4% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against St. Louis City 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

St. Louis City 2 has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:

06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0

06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1

05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2

26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2

02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

23.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 1:4 ✺

15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity 2:1 ✺

Latest results of St. Louis City 2

13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1 ✺

06.04.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Austin II 1:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - St. Louis City 2 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	20	12	2	2	4	49:42	42
2	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	5	2	2	44:17	39
3	Chicago Fire II	18	9	2	2	5	43:32	33
4	New England Revolution II	18	8	4	1	5	31:22	33
5	Toronto FC II	20	8	0	4	8	24:31	28
6	Cincinnati 2	18	4	7	0	7	19:23	26
7	New York City II	19	6	2	3	8	33:39	25
8	Columbus Crew 2	18	3	1	2	12	19:35	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	18	9	3	2	4	39:19	35
2	Chattanooga	20	8	3	3	6	31:31	33
3	Carolina Core	20	5	4	4	7	26:27	27
4	Orlando City B	19	7	2	1	9	26:37	26
5	Crown Legacy	20	5	3	5	7	30:39	26
6	Atlanta United 2	17	3	2	6	6	23:29	19
7	Inter Miami II	19	5	0	3	11	30:44	18

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	19	10	1	3	5	40:32	35
2	Town FC	16	8	2	2	4	38:21	30
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	7	3	1	8	41:36	28
4	Real Monarchs	17	5	4	3	5	29:31	26
5	Portland Timbers 2	18	6	2	2	8	29:34	24
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	6	2	1	9	45:48	23
7	Los Angeles FC II	18	6	2	1	9	28:37	23

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	19	13	2	0	4	41:25	43
2	Colorado Rapids 2	20	10	1	3	6	38:31	35
3	North Texas	19	8	2	1	8	33:39	29
4	Austin FC II	18	6	3	4	5	22:21	28
5	Minnesota 2	19	7	1	3	8	30:31	26
6	Houston Dynamo 2	20	6	3	2	9	29:31	26
7	Sporting Kansas City II	18	2	1	3	12	17:43	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	20	12	2	2	4	49:42	42
2	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	5	2	2	44:17	39
3	Huntsville	18	9	3	2	4	39:19	35
4	Chicago Fire II	18	9	2	2	5	43:32	33
5	New England Revolution II	18	8	4	1	5	31:22	33
6	Chattanooga	20	8	3	3	6	31:31	33
7	Toronto FC II	20	8	0	4	8	24:31	28
8	Carolina Core	20	5	4	4	7	26:27	27
9	Orlando City B	19	7	2	1	9	26:37	26
10	Crown Legacy	20	5	3	5	7	30:39	26
11	Cincinnati 2	18	4	7	0	7	19:23	26
12	New York City II	19	6	2	3	8	33:39	25
13	Atlanta United 2	17	3	2	6	6	23:29	19
14	Inter Miami II	19	5	0	3	11	30:44	18
15	Columbus Crew 2	18	3	1	2	12	19:35	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	19	13	2	0	4	41:25	43
2	Ventura County	19	10	1	3	5	40:32	35
3	Colorado Rapids 2	20	10	1	3	6	38:31	35
4	Town FC	16	8	2	2	4	38:21	30
5	North Texas	19	8	2	1	8	33:39	29
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	7	3	1	8	41:36	28
7	Austin FC II	18	6	3	4	5	22:21	28
8	Minnesota 2	19	7	1	3	8	30:31	26
9	Houston Dynamo 2	20	6	3	2	9	29:31	26
10	Real Monarchs	17	5	4	3	5	29:31	26
11	Portland Timbers 2	18	6	2	2	8	29:34	24
12	Tacoma Defiance	18	6	2	1	9	45:48	23
13	Los Angeles FC II	18	6	2	1	9	28:37	23
14	Sporting Kansas City II	18	2	1	3	12	17:43	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro