Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
  • 56', Sandnes G. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ⚽,
  • 63', Glover C. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
  • 65', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
  • 72', McSorley B. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
  • 72', Orozco J. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
  • 77', Kuzain W. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
  • 77', Antwi S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%		Draw
23.6%		St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (1.99)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.73)    		 2.69 ↓
    (3.21)    		 7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    23.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 1:4
    15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3
    02.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1
    06.04.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 0:1
    30.03.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Austin II 1:0
    14.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 29511221:1818
    2New York City II11411522:2515
    3Philadelphia Union II7322015:515
    4New England Revolution II8330214:1115
    5Chicago Fire II8400413:1712
    6Toronto FC II930249:1411
    7Columbus Crew 28202410:148
    8Cincinnati 2812057:117


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga10711117:1024
    2Huntsville9331219:916
    3Orlando City B9410414:1714
    4Crown Legacy8222213:1212
    5Atlanta United 29124214:1811
    6Inter Miami II10301617:2410
    7Carolina Core9123314:1410


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County11700420:1621
    2Tacoma Defiance9500423:2015
    3Portland Timbers 210411415:1715
    4Town FC8311317:912
    5Los Angeles FC II9311415:2012
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 211230622:2212
    7Real Monarchs7212211:1110


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1North Texas10511317:1918
    2Houston Dynamo 210510417:1317
    3Colorado Rapids 210502317:1517
    4St. Louis City 210510414:1517
    5Minnesota 26400212:712
    6Austin FC II821237:1010
    7Sporting Kansas City II901267:204


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga10711117:1024
    2New York Red Bulls 29511221:1818
    3Huntsville9331219:916
    4New York City II11411522:2515
    5Philadelphia Union II7322015:515
    6New England Revolution II8330214:1115
    7Orlando City B9410414:1714
    8Chicago Fire II8400413:1712
    9Crown Legacy8222213:1212
    10Toronto FC II930249:1411
    11Atlanta United 29124214:1811
    12Inter Miami II10301617:2410
    13Carolina Core9123314:1410
    14Columbus Crew 28202410:148
    15Cincinnati 2812057:117


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County11700420:1621
    2North Texas10511317:1918
    3Houston Dynamo 210510417:1317
    4Colorado Rapids 210502317:1517
    5St. Louis City 210510414:1517
    6Tacoma Defiance9500423:2015
    7Portland Timbers 210411415:1715
    8Minnesota 26400212:712
    9Town FC8311317:912
    10Los Angeles FC II9311415:2012
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 211230622:2212
    12Real Monarchs7212211:1110
    13Austin FC II821237:1010
    14Sporting Kansas City II901267:204

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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