Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.96
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1837
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
128
Passes
82% (284/347)84% (515/612)
Long passes
43% (17/40)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
76% (66/87)67% (118/175)
Crosses
36% (5/14)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.38
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
812
Tackles
90% (9/10)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3726
Clearances
355
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.962.16
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Orozco J. (Own goal),
  • 40', Jaaskelainen E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Robles D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
  • 56', Sandnes G. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 0, De Rosario O. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A),
  • 62', 3 - 0, Hawkins S. ⚽,
  • 63', Glover C. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
  • 65', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
  • 72', McSorley B. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
  • 72', Orozco J. ↓, Becher R. ↑,
  • 77', Kuzain W. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
  • 77', Antwi S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Minoungou G. ⚽,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Kidd M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
41.8%		Draw
23.6%		St. Louis City 2
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 24.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City 2's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (1.99)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.73)    		 2.69 ↓
    (3.21)    		 7.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tacoma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches St. Louis City 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tacoma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tacoma will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    06.10.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0
    06.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    05.06.2023 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 0:2
    26.03.2023 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    02.10.2022 St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    23.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance 1:4
    15.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots 2:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3
    02.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    13.04.2025 Ventura County - St. Louis City 2 3:1
    06.04.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 0:1
    30.03.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Austin II 1:0
    14.03.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - St. Louis City 2 0:1
    09.03.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 0:3
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    2New York City II15522628:3121
    3Chicago Fire II12511423:2219
    4New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    5Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    6Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    7Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    8Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2Huntsville12531324:1322
    3Orlando City B13610619:2420
    4Carolina Core12324318:1617
    5Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    6Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2Town FC10511322:1018
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    4Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    5Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    6Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    7Portland Timbers 213411721:3015


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    2Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    3North Texas13611521:2521
    4Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    5Minnesota 210502320:1317
    6Austin FC II12323411:1416
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga13821222:1529
    2New York Red Bulls 212811228:2027
    3Huntsville12531324:1322
    4New York City II15522628:3121
    5Orlando City B13610619:2420
    6Chicago Fire II12511423:2219
    7New England Revolution II11430317:1419
    8Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    9Philadelphia Union II9422119:718
    10Carolina Core12324318:1617
    11Crown Legacy11322417:1815
    12Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    13Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    14Columbus Crew 211212611:2110
    15Cincinnati 21113079:189


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County13810426:2126
    2St. Louis City 212710422:1823
    3Colorado Rapids 213702422:1923
    4North Texas13611521:2521
    5Houston Dynamo 213530520:1921
    6Town FC10511322:1018
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    8Minnesota 210502320:1317
    9Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    10Real Monarchs10413220:1617
    11Austin FC II12323411:1416
    12Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    13Portland Timbers 213411721:3015
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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