North Queensland Cowboys vs St. George Illawarra Dragons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons
Result
38:32
25/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 21
North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
76
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
76
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
6367
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
161197
Metres Run With Ball
18821778

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (28 - 12)
  • 6', Laybutt Z. (Try),
  • 7', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 11', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 13', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 20', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Feagai M. (Try),
  • 29', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Hess C. (Try),
  • 36', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Drinkwater S. (Try),
  • 39', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Nanai J. (Try),
  • 40', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 20)
  • 56', Allan C. (Try),
  • 58', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 59', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 61', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 65', Liddle J. (Try),
  • 66', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 73', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 75', Drinkwater S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 76', Purdue J. (Try),
  • 76', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 78', Liddle J. (Try),
  • 78', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
57.3%
Draw
4.6%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 4.2% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 4.3% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.55)
    19.8
    (22.33)
    2.44
    (2.59)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 3 - 75%). St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 5.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • North Queensland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • North Queensland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 497:336. (average 26.2:17.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 214:123. (average 26.8:15.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    23.03.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys 24:46
    13.05.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons 42:22
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders19163546:38836
    2Melbourne Storm19145583:35534
    3Canterbury Bulldogs18144428:29234
    4New Zealand Warriors18126391:36330
    5Penrith Panthers18107420:34127
    6Brisbane Broncos18108466:38826
    7Cronulla Sharks19118435:41226
    8Dolphins1899533:36424
    9Manly Sea Eagles1899402:38024
    10Sydney Roosters18810451:44722
    11NQ Cowboys19711406:56319
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons18612404:46818
    13Newcastle Knights19613284:40018
    14Wests Tigers19712357:49218
    15Parramatta Eels19613345:49818
    16Gold Coast Titans18513370:51916
    17South Sydney Rabbitohs19613327:47816

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