St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Result
24:40
30/08/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 26
St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
47
Conversion Goals
46
Conversion Goal Attempts
47
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
10086
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
181209
Metres Run With Ball
16502111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 22)
  • 5', Waddell C. (Try),
  • 6', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', King-Togia L. (Try),
  • 11', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Koula T. (Try),
  • 22', Cherry-Evans D. (Try),
  • 22', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Schoupp A. (Try),
  • 40+1', Cherry-Evans D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 18)
  • 48', Liddle J. (Try),
  • 50', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
  • 54', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Waddell C. (Try),
  • 59', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Talau T. (Try),
  • 67', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Guler E. (Try),
  • 78', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Navale C. (Try),
  • 80', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
41.4%
Draw
4.7%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 4.2% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 4.5% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (1.75)
    20.97
    (22.33)
    1.8
    (2.18)
    1.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 3.
    • St. George Illawarra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Manly-Warringah is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. George Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that St. George Illawarra will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 420:356. (average 21:17.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 305:176. (average 23.5:13.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - St. George Illawarra Dragons 18:20
    16.06.2024 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - St. George Illawarra Dragons 30:14
    30.03.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 20:12
    29.07.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 18:24
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders23194630:44444
    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
    4Brisbane Broncos23149650:49434
    5New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    6Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    10Dolphins221012623:54226
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights22616312:53218
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

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