St. Gallen vs Luzern: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swiss Super League St. Gallen - Luzern
Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 4
  • Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)
St. Gallen - Luzern - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.451.31
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
73% (195/267)74% (234/316)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
2.451.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.67
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
117
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1818
Passes
73% (195/267)74% (234/316)
Long passes
39% (22/56)42% (28/67)
Passes in final third
59% (58/99)61% (69/114)
Crosses
32% (9/28)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.12
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
2018
Tackles
71% (12/17)87% (13/15)
Duels won
6559
Clearances
2939
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.671.89
Goals prevented
0.671.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Neziri B. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Loretz P. 🟨,
  • 65', Okoroji C. , Owusu E. ,
  • 66', Stanic J. 🟨,
  • 67', Von Moos J. 🟨,
  • 68', Ciganiks A. 🟨,
  • 71', Von Moos J. , Silva Ferreira L. M. ,
  • 72', Vogt A. , Vladi S. ,
  • 72', Balde A. , Witzig C. ,
  • 72', Boukhalfa C. , Konietzke C. ,
  • 76', Spadanuda K. , Karweina S. ,
  • 77', Owusu T. 🟨,
  • 80', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
  • 82', Owusu T. , Winkler L. ,
  • 82', Di Giusto M. , Ottiger S. ,
  • 90+5', Knezevic S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Witzig C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


St. Gallen
42.5%
Draw
26.1%
Luzern
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 23.7% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • St. Gallen - Luzern Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.02)
    3.67
    (3.75)
    3
    (3.26)
    4.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Luzern?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Gallen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Gallen will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 0.
    • St. Gallen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Luzern's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, St. Gallen has had a series of home games.
    • St. Gallen might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S. (Injury) Ati Zigi L. (Injury) Daschner L. (Knee Injury) Fazliji B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J. (Hernia) Villiger L. (Knee Injury) Von Moos J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Luzern were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Luzern - St. Gallen 1:1
    02.02.2025 Luzern - St. Gallen 2:0
    21.09.2024 St. Gallen - Luzern 2:3
    01.04.2024 St. Gallen - Luzern 1:1
    04.02.2024 Luzern - St. Gallen 1:0
    Latest results of St. Gallen
    09.08.2025 St. Gallen - Winterthur 5:0
    02.08.2025 Servette - St. Gallen 1:4
    26.07.2025 St. Gallen - Basel 2:1
    22.07.2025 St. Gallen - Villarreal 2:2
    17.07.2025 St. Gallen - Darmstadt 2:4
    Latest results of Luzern
    09.08.2025 Luzern - Thun 1:2
    03.08.2025 Luzern - Zürich 1:1
    26.07.2025 Grasshoppers - Luzern 2:3
    19.07.2025 Luzern - Rapperswil-Jona 3:0
    12.07.2025 Rheindorf Altach - Luzern 3:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun541011:4713
    2St. Gallen540113:4912
    3Basel53029:729
    4Young Boys52218:718
    5Luzern52218:718
    6Sion42117:347
    7Zurich52128:10-27
    8Grasshoppers50327:9-23
    9Lausanne41036:8-23
    10Lugano41035:10-53
    11Servette40225:10-52
    12Winterthur50236:14-82

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
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    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Gallen - Luzern?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
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