Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Trinidense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción).

: Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.73	1.31
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
83% (457/548)	77% (286/370)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	2.23
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
5	10
Passes
83% (457/548)	77% (286/370)
Long passes
51% (36/71)	40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
63% (82/131)	51% (48/94)
Crosses
38% (8/21)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.47
Throw-ins
17	13
Fouls
10	5
Tackles
75% (6/8)	68% (15/22)
Duels won
43	49
Clearances
24	41
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
2.23	1.18
Goals prevented
-0.77	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Benitez C. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Carrizo F. (Pen),
17', Gauto N. 🟨,
23', Vera J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Romero F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gauto N. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
46', Ruiz Diaz A. ↓, Canete A. ↑,
56', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
63', Dominguez F. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
64', Zarza P. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
64', Dominguez C. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Baez Mendoza R. ⚽, Rayer T. (A),
70', Carrizo F. 🟨,
71', Carrizo F. 🟥,
76', Camacho N. ↓, Cano Esteche A. B. ↑,
84', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
84', Amarilla L. ↓, Silvero F. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Roman J. ⚽, Romero F. (A),
86', Romero F. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
90+1', Perez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cerro Porteño
61.1%

Draw
23.6%

Sportivo Trinidense
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	4.13 ↑ (3.71)	6.49 ↑ (5.22)	3.9% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2.
In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sportivo Trinidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sportivo Trinidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Trinidense?

Cerro Porteño has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Cerro Porteño?

Sportivo Trinidense has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:

20.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense 1:0

08.02.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño 1:0

21.11.2024 Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño 3:2

11.09.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense 1:1

06.04.2024 Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño 1:3

Latest results of Cerro Porteño

20.08.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 3:4 ✺

13.08.2025 Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1 ✺

08.08.2025 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense

17.08.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion 0:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Sportivo Limpeño - Sportivo Trinidense 0:4 ✺

08.08.2025 2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Trinidense 0:0 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	9	6	2	1	18:12	6	20
2	Guarani	9	6	1	2	22:9	13	19
3	Sp. Luqueno	9	5	2	2	13:7	6	17
4	Sportivo Trinidense	9	5	2	2	15:10	5	17
5	Nacional Asuncion	9	4	4	1	11:5	6	16
6	Libertad Asuncion	9	3	3	3	10:8	2	12
7	General Caballero JLM	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
8	2 de Mayo	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10
9	Recoleta	9	2	3	4	12:15	-3	9
10	Olimpia Asuncion	9	2	3	4	11:16	-5	9
11	Ameliano	9	1	2	6	7:18	-11	5
12	Atl. Tembetary	9	0	2	7	7:19	-12	2

Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz