Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño
Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.24
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (382/437)70% (175/249)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.810.93
Total shots
167
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2113
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
87% (382/437)70% (175/249)
Long passes
61% (31/51)39% (31/79)
Passes in final third
75% (89/119)47% (42/90)
Crosses
34% (11/32)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.78
Fouls
1811
Tackles
79% (11/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4447
Clearances Total
2227
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.932.81
Goals prevented
-1.070.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Marchio J. 🟥,
  • 15', Perez M. , Villalba A. ,
  • 16', Villalba A. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Gonzalez W. , Comas L. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Barreto D. , Samudio A. (A),
  • 31', Ramos J. , Torres I. ,
  • 38', Bogado G. (Pen),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Bogado G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 2 - 2, Gonzalez W. (Pen),
  • 62', Barreto D. , Ocampos C. ,
  • 69', Zaracho E. , Valdez D. ,
  • 70', Samudio A. , Vera F. ,
  • 73', Comas L. , Ayala W. ,
  • 73', Parra A. , Pereira K. ,
  • 74', Rodriguez W. , Benitez A. ,
  • 77', Ortiz L. , Valdez I. ,
  • 77', Paez A. , Barja B. ,
  • 81', Benitez A. 🟨,
  • 87', Ayala W. 🟨,
  • 88', Ocampos C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Ameliano
43.1%
Draw
29.6%
Sportivo Luqueño
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 29.6% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 30.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Ameliano's performance.
  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Luqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.52)
    3.13
    (3.15)
    3.35
    (2.8)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 2.
    • Sportivo Ameliano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Sportivo Luqueño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Sportivo Ameliano have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano 2:0
    16.11.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano 0:2
    02.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño 3:1
    11.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano 0:0
    16.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño 1:3
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion19107232:141837
    2Cerro Porteno19104526:161034
    3Guarani18102621:17432
    4Olimpia Asuncion1885525:20529
    5Sportivo Trinidense19510421:20125
    6Recoleta1967628:29-125
    7Ameliano1856718:19-121
    8General Caballero JLM1956816:20-421
    9Nacional Asuncion19631018:23-521
    10Sp. Luqueno1948712:23-1120
    11Atl. Tembetary1939715:21-618
    122 de Mayo1829713:23-1015

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

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