Result
0:0
21/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (153/238) | 81% (348/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (153/238) | 81% (348/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (45/87) | 63% (71/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
- 37', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 40', Baez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Allan Wlk ↓, Zaracho E. ↑,
- 46', Fretes S. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
- 47', Torres J. 🟨,
- 52', Bogado G. 🟨,
- 56', Carrizo F. 🟨,
- 60', Torres J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 60', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 61', Vera F. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 61', Salazar V. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
- 66', Valdez I. 🟨,
- 67', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
- 68', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 76', Sarquis E. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 83', Gomez R. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 83', Iturbe J. ↓, Marecos R. ↑,
- 84', Piris R. 🟨,
- 88', Zaracho E. 🟨,
- 89', Martinich M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
19.5% | Draw
27% | Cerro Porteño
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Ameliano's form might have worsened.Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro Porteño's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(3.24) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
1.75 ↓
(2.1) |
7.6%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0.
- Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Cerro Porteño has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
21.09.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
01.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
14.04.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:0
25.01.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Cerro Porteño
1:4
01.10.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:2
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Guarani | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Recoleta | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 27 |
| 8 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 22 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
