Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Ameliano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano
Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Bogado M. (Par)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.28
Ball Possession
78%22%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
90% (480/535)51% (73/142)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.530.00
Total shots
208
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
339
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
90% (480/535)51% (73/142)
Long passes
73% (30/41)32% (20/62)
Passes in final third
81% (140/173)36% (24/67)
Crosses
31% (8/26)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.66
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1112
Tackles
86% (12/14)93% (13/14)
Duels won
5845
Clearances
1528
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.001.53
Goals prevented
0.00-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Paez E. 🟨,
  • 11', Lezcano Olmedo T. E. 🟥,
  • 42', Aranda S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sarquis E. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Velazquez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Aranda P. , Servian A. ,
  • 46', Aranda S. , Samudio A. ,
  • 48', Salazar V. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Amarilla L. , Dominguez C. (A),
  • 57', Paez E. , Franco C. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Morel J. , Torres J. (A),
  • 66', Sarquis E. , Vera F. ,
  • 66', Paredes M. , Herrero G. ,
  • 72', Torres J. , Portillo Avalos T. G. ,
  • 72', Escobar R. , Sanguina J. ,
  • 72', Gimenez G. , Peralta F. ,
  • 73', Franco C. 🟨,
  • 84', Dominguez C. , Viera W. ,
  • 85', Morel J. , Bobadilla A. ,

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
56.1%
Draw
25.4%
Sportivo Ameliano
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.3% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 25% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.65)
    3.2
    (3.85)
    4.43
    (4.94)
    21.1%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4.
    • Recent performances by Cerro Porteño have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sportivo Ameliano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    21.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:0
    21.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    01.08.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano 1:0
    14.04.2024 Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano 3:0
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1492332:131929
    2Cerro Porteno1484224:16828
    3Nacional Asuncion1364316:11522
    4Sportivo Trinidense1464420:18222
    52 de Mayo1354415:17-219
    6Recoleta1353520:19118
    7General Caballero JLM1353514:18-418
    8Libertad Asuncion1345415:11417
    9Sp. Luqueno1452718:22-417
    10Olimpia Asuncion1334617:24-713
    11Ameliano1332813:23-1011
    12Atl. Tembetary1313914:26-126

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