Sporting Lisbon vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City
Result
4:1
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.862.21
Ball Possession
27%73%
Goal Attempts
920
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
18
Free Kicks
108
Corner Kicks
111
Offsides
14
Throw-ins
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
810
Yellow Cards
33
Total Passes
228596
Completed Passes
181556
Crosses Completed
02
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Foden P. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. , Quenda G. (A),
  • 45+1', Kovacic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 1, Araujo M. , Goncalves P. (A),
  • 49', 3 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 55', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 69', Haaland E. (Pen),
  • 73', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 73', Savinho 🟨,
  • 75', Morita H. , Braganca D. ,
  • 75', Araujo M. , Catamo G. ,
  • 75', Matheus Reis , St. Juste J. ,
  • 77', Savinho , Doku J. ,
  • 77', Silva B. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 79', Nunes M. 🟨,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 85', Kovacic M. , De Bruyne K. ,
  • 85', Quenda G. , Quaresma E. ,
  • 88', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 88', Trincao , Harder C. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
27.8%
Draw
25.7%
Manchester City
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 23.1% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 22.7% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (4.48)
    3.77
    (4.13)
    2.07
    (1.72)
    3.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 12 - 11.4%). Man City will win (votes: 78 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65.9%82.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Man City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Man City will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) De Bruyne K. (Muscle Injury) Dias R. (Injury) Grealish J. (Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Savinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Inacio G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Stones J. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Lisbon - Manchester City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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