Sporting Lisbon vs Kairat: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Kairat
Result
4:1
18/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
Sporting Lisbon - Kairat - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.250.70
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
86% (483/561)76% (240/316)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
4.250.70
xG on target (xGOT)
4.730.54
Total shots
219
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4213
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
86% (483/561)76% (240/316)
Long passes
58% (25/43)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
72% (131/182)62% (39/63)
Crosses
31% (5/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.39
Throw-ins
166
Fouls
1411
Tackles
58% (7/12)47% (9/19)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
924
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.544.73
Goals prevented
-0.460.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Kochorashvili G. 🟨,
  • 21', Hjulmand M. (Pen),
  • 31', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 39', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Trincao , Kochorashvili G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 61', Kochorashvili G. , Morita H. ,
  • 61', Goncalves P. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 61', Suarez L. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Trincao , Fresneda I. (A),
  • 66', Araujo M. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Alisson Santos , Quenda G. (A),
  • 68', 4 - 0, Quenda G. ,
  • 69', Quenda G. 🟨,
  • 70', Hjulmand M. , Debast Z. ,
  • 70', Arad O. , Edmilson Santos ,
  • 70', Tapalov E. , Stanojev J. ,
  • 75', Kasabulat D. , Sadybekov A. ,
  • 79', Debast Z. 🟨,
  • 81', Mata L. , Kurgin L. ,
  • 81', Mrynskiy A. , Ricardinho ,
  • 86', 4 - 1, Edmilson Santos , Ricardinho (A),
  • 90+2', Satpaev D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
88%
Draw
8.3%
Kairat
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
85.8% 10.2% 4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Kairat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.09
    (1.12)
    11.17
    (9.43)
    27.61
    (24)
    4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Kairat?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Kairat will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 61.6%88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kairat (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Diomande O. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Silva R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Kairat: Anarbekov T. (Jaw injury) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Zaria G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kairat: Zarutskiy A. (Knee Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Kairat
    14.09.2025 Kairat - Aktobe 1:0
    31.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Kairat 0:1
    26.08.2025 Kairat - Celtic 1:0
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    16.08.2025 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 2:3
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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