Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon
Result
1:3
09/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
  • Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.452.32
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1017
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
55
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
20
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
43
Throw-ins
2229
Touches in the Opposition Box
1428
Passes
80% (332/414)84% (324/386)
Passes in the final third
63% (51/81)79% (81/103)
Crosses
25% (4/16)38% (6/16)
Tackles
79% (15/19)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1823
Interceptions
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', Inacio G. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Inacio G. , Quenda G. (A),
  • 28', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Gyokeres V. , Hjulmand M. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 2, Esgaio R. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Tchamba D. 🟨,
  • 57', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 62', Diomande O. 🟨,
  • 64', Hjulmand M. , Morita H. ,
  • 64', Quenda G. , Catamo G. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
  • 79', Miguel Sousa , Osundina K. ,
  • 79', Caue , Svensson M. ,
  • 79', Matheus Reis , Araujo M. ,
  • 86', Larrazabal G. , Pereira H. ,
  • 86', Fonte J. , Kluivert R. ,
  • 86', Pablo Roberto , Mohamed I. ,
  • 88', Esgaio R. , Felicissimo E. ,
  • 89', Trincao , Harder C. ,
  • 90+1', Brito R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Svensson M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
14.8%
Draw
21.8%
Sporting Lisbon
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.1% 22.6% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 22.2% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Sporting Lisbon aligns with the current prediction.
  • Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.43
    (6.26)
    4.28
    (4.17)
    1.48
    (1.52)
    6.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Sporting Lisbon will win! (14 of 15 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
    • Recent matches Casa Pia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sporting is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sporting is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R. (Injury) Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Hjulmand M. (Ankle Injury) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Quaresma E. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) St. Juste J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Benaissa-Yahia F. (Injury) Cassiano (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Simoes J. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:21 (average 1:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 2:0
    29.01.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 8:0
    18.08.2023 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    09.04.2023 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 3:4
    22.10.2022 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 3:1
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    22.02.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:0
    15.02.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 3:2
    01.02.2025 Santa Clara - Casa Pia 2:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Liga Portugal Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP33247286:275979
    2Benfica33254483:275679
    3FC Porto33215762:303268
    4Braga33198654:292565
    5Vitoria Guimaraes331412747:351254
    6Santa Clara331661134:31354
    7Casa Pia331291238:42-445
    8Famalicao3311111142:38444
    9Estoril3311101244:53-943
    10Moreirense339101439:50-1137
    11Rio Ave339101438:54-1637
    12Arouca338111431:48-1735
    13Nacional33971732:47-1534
    14Gil Vicente33891633:46-1333
    15Estrela33781824:46-2229
    16AFS335121625:57-3227
    17SC Farense33691824:44-2027
    18Boavista33662123:55-3224

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8, COSMOTE Sport 9
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalRTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1, Sportklub
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+
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