Result
1:3
09/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/414) | 84% (324/386) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (51/81) | 79% (81/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 38% (6/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Inacio G. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Inacio G. ⚽, Quenda G. (A),
- 28', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 2, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Esgaio R. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Tchamba D. 🟨,
- 57', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 62', Diomande O. 🟨,
- 64', Hjulmand M. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
- 64', Quenda G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
- 79', Miguel Sousa ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
- 79', Caue ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 79', Matheus Reis ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
- 86', Larrazabal G. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 86', Fonte J. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 86', Pablo Roberto ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 88', Esgaio R. ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
- 89', Trincao ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 90+1', Brito R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Svensson M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
14.8% | Draw
21.8% | Sporting Lisbon
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Sporting Lisbon aligns with the current prediction.
Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.43 ↑
(6.26) |
4.28 ↑
(4.17) |
1.48 ↓
(1.52) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 80.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sporting is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Sporting is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
Hjulmand M.
(Ankle Injury)
Morita H.
(Muscle Injury)
Quaresma E.
(Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
St. Juste J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Benaissa-Yahia F.
(Injury)
Cassiano
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Simoes J.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:21 (average 1:3.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Sporting Lisbon?
Casa Pia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Casa Pia?
Sporting Lisbon has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
05.10.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Casa Pia
2:0
29.01.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Casa Pia
8:0
18.08.2023
Casa Pia
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
09.04.2023
Casa Pia
-
Sporting Lisbon
3:4
22.10.2022
Sporting Lisbon
-
Casa Pia
3:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Which TV channels are streaming of Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8, COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1, Sportklub |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
