Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Bologna
Result
1:1
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Sporting Lisbon - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
56.5%
Draw
25.1%
Bologna
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 18.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 17.4% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.
  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bologna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bologna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.35)
    3.83
    (5.22)
    5.25
    (8.38)
    4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 47 - 68.1%). Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 57.1%79.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Sporting is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bologna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sporting is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Gyokeres V. (Knee Injury) Quaresma E. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) St. Juste J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Freuler R. (Yellow Cards) Orsolini R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Morita H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Erlic M. (Illness)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Bologna
    25.01.2025 Empoli - Bologna 1:1
    18.01.2025 Bologna - Monza 3:1
    15.01.2025 Inter Milan - Bologna 2:2
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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