Sporting Kansas City II vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rock Chalk Park (Lawrence, KS).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.34
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
89% (476/535)	85% (366/429)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	1.72
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
30	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
9	5
Passes
89% (476/535)	85% (366/429)
Long passes
58% (15/26)	49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
84% (141/168)	73% (104/142)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.68	1.12
Throw-ins
15	21
Fouls
5	9
Tackles
73% (8/11)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
28	17
Clearances
19	18
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.72	0.52
Goals prevented
-0.28	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Bucknor J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Karani S. ⚽, Bucknor J. (A), Sullivan N. (A2)
45', 1 - 1, Goumballe M. ⚽, Uderitz H. (A),
45+1', Derksen C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortiz J. ↓, Alexandre M. ↑,
46', Wantland Z. ↓, Samways A. ↑,
58', Bucknor J. ↓, Vivi Quesada G. ↑,
64', Uderitz H. ↓, Clarke N. ↑,
70', Middleby M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽, Karani S. (A),
73', Derksen C. ↓, Loyo Reynaga Z. ↑,
79', Quintero G. ↓, Uderitz B. ↑,
89', Karani S. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
89', Tsakiris M. ↓, Arnold G. ↑,

Chances of winning

Sporting Kansas City II
31.5%

Draw
23.7%

Ventura County
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

22.9%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

22.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.58)	3.92 ↓ (4.01)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)	7.6% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

In recent matches, Sporting KC II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ventura County is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sporting KC II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City II won against Ventura County?

Sporting Kansas City II has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Sporting Kansas City II?

Ventura County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County were as follows:

20.04.2024 Ventura County - Sporting Kansas City II 1:1

24.03.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County 1:3

Latest results of Sporting Kansas City II

19.09.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 1:2 ✺

06.09.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Colorado Rapids 2 2:3 ✺

24.08.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Ventura County

21.09.2025 Ventura County - The Town 0:4 ✺

14.09.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

06.09.2025 North Texas - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Austin II - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
5	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
2	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC II	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
3	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
5	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
7	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
5	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC II	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County?

It is being streamed on channel


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