Result
4:3
05/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : LaLiga2 - Round 38
- Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 2.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (310/398) | 73% (270/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 2.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (310/398) | 73% (270/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 36% (28/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (91/136) | 58% (73/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
- 19', Otero J. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
- 45+5', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 45+6', Moyita S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', Crettaz G. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 2, Otero J. (Pen),
- 57', Escobar J. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Jimenez A. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
- 69', Serrano N. ↓, Rosas G. ↑,
- 71', 4 - 2, Vazquez K. (Own goal),
- 75', Calatrava A. ↓, Zarfino G. ↑,
- 75', Olaetxea L. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
- 75', Pier R. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
- 82', Vazquez K. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
- 85', Mabil A. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
- 85', Sanchez R. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 86', Moyita S. ↓, Jojic M. ↑,
- 87', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 3, Otero J. ⚽, Garcia P. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrxbbpxa
Chances of winning
Castellón
55.3% | Draw
25.3% | Sporting de Gijón
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Castellón - Sporting de Gijón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.82) |
3.72 ↑
(3.68) |
4.83 ↑
(3.93) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Castellón - Sporting de Gijón?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 16)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
Caicedo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Campos G.
(Muscle Injury)
Curbelo E.
(Injury)
Dotor C.
(Injury)
Rosas G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B.
(Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Sporting de Gijón?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Castellón?
Sporting de Gijón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
14.10.2024
Sporting de Gijón
-
Castellón
2:1
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | R. Oviedo (3) | Almeria (6) | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mirandes (4) | Racing Santander (5) | 4 : 1, 3 : 3 |
Final| 1 | R. Oviedo (3) | Mirandes (4) | 0 : 1 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Castellón - Sporting de Gijón?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
