Castellón vs Sporting de Gijón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón
Result
4:3
05/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 38
  • Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)
Castellón - Sporting de Gijón - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.062.94
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1818
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
78% (310/398)73% (270/370)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.062.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.712.58
Total shots
1818
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1413
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3125
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
87
Passes
78% (310/398)73% (270/370)
Long passes
40% (24/60)36% (28/77)
Passes in final third
67% (91/136)58% (73/125)
Crosses
14% (2/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.88
Throw-ins
1629
Fouls
78
Tackles
60% (15/25)71% (12/17)
Duels won
7054
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.582.71
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
  • 19', Otero J. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
  • 45+5', Sanchez D. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Moyita S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', Crettaz G. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Otero J. (Pen),
  • 57', Escobar J. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Jimenez A. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
  • 69', Serrano N. ↓, Rosas G. ↑,
  • 71', 4 - 2, Vazquez K. (Own goal),
  • 75', Calatrava A. ↓, Zarfino G. ↑,
  • 75', Olaetxea L. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
  • 75', Pier R. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
  • 82', Vazquez K. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
  • 85', Mabil A. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
  • 85', Sanchez R. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
  • 86', Moyita S. ↓, Jojic M. ↑,
  • 87', Chirino D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 3, Otero J. ⚽, Garcia P. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mrxbbpxa

Chances of winning


Castellón
55.3%		Draw
25.3%		Sporting de Gijón
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 25.3% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
    •

    Castellón - Sporting de Gijón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.71 ↓
    (1.82)    		 3.72 ↑
    (3.68)    		 4.83 ↑
    (3.93)    		 6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Sporting de Gijón?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 41.1% – 82.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 16)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Campos G. (Muscle Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Dotor C. (Injury) Rosas G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B. (Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Sporting de Gijón were as follows:
    14.10.2024 Sporting de Gijón - Castellón 2:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Castellón - Albacete Balompié 2:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Cartagena - Castellón 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    25.04.2025 Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Eldense - Sporting de Gijón 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife 1:3 ✺
    30.03.2025 Huesca - Sporting de Gijón 3:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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