Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal
Result
3:1
21/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.70
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
74% (163/221)87% (389/448)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.78
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1220
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
710
Passes
74% (163/221)87% (389/448)
Long passes
38% (18/48)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
55% (28/51)75% (108/144)
Crosses
17% (3/18)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.86
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
107
Tackles
53% (8/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3835
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.780.72
Goals prevented
-0.17-2.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Gonzales C. , Lora J. (A),
  • 18', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Bueno P. , Torres F. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Takeuchi O. , Manzaneda J. (A),
  • 44', Quintana A. 🟨,
  • 45', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wisdom I. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 57', Tavara M. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 57', Castro M. , Sosa M. ,
  • 59', Bueno P. , Camargo I. ,
  • 60', Posito Olazabal A. J. , Alcedo F. ,
  • 74', Mogollon E. , Gonzales D. ,
  • 75', Torres F. , Palomino J. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Takeuchi O. , Gonzales D. (A),
  • 77', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
  • 77', Lora J. , Cabellos C. ,
  • 83', Takeuchi O. , Mifflin L. ,
  • 83', Pimienta C. , Zamalloa F. ,
  • 90+8', Gonzales C. (Pen),
  • 90+9', Gonzalez H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Los Chankas
29.1%
Draw
27%
Sporting Cristal
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 24.9% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 24.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Chankas's performance.
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (3.96)
    3.45
    (3.82)
    2.1
    (1.86)
    7.7%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sporting Cristal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Ankle Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    31.07.2024 Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal 3:3
    15.02.2024 Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas 4:1
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1786327:19830
    5Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    6Cusco1684429:191028
    7Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1757524:25-122
    11AD Tarma1756623:30-721
    12Sport Boys1655625:25020
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1753917:34-1718
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1644819:26-716
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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