Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima
Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.81
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1213
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
89
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
12
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
715
Offsides
01
Fouls
157
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1510
Touches in the Opposition Box
2119
Passes
78% (255/325)80% (240/299)
Passes in the final third
65% (63/97)76% (91/119)
Crosses
20% (6/30)13% (2/15)
Tackles
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Clearances Total
3046
Interceptions
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Velasquez J. (Own goal),
  • 19', Cabellos C. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 34', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Archimbaud J. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Cabellos C. , Tavara M. ,
  • 56', Sosa M. , Castro M. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Cantero A. , Gaibor F. (A),
  • 63', Avila I. , Gonzales C. ,
  • 76', D'Arrigo J. , Garces R. ,
  • 79', Pretell J. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 79', Lora J. , Chavez G. ,
  • 80', Romero F. 🟨,
  • 90', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 90', Cantero A. , Succar M. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
49.9%
Draw
28.3%
Alianza Lima
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 26.9% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Cristal's performance.
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.29)
    3.32
    (3.38)
    4.33
    (3.07)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 2.
    • Sporting Cristal in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sporting Cristal is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury) Sosa L. (Muscle Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:13 (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Cristal won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 0.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 0:0
    30.06.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    09.03.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:2
    08.07.2023 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    4Alianza Atl1591525:151028
    5Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    7Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    8Cusco1574425:18725
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1547419:20-119
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco1515913:28-158

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com
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