Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal
Result
0:0
05/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.25
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
84% (308/365)86% (341/397)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.15
Total shots
185
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
80
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2511
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
106
Passes
84% (308/365)86% (341/397)
Long passes
56% (30/54)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
68% (78/115)73% (45/62)
Crosses
26% (8/31)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.20
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
610
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
2739
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.150.01
Goals prevented
0.150.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gaibor F. 🟨,
  • 15', Garces R. 🟨,
  • 18', Pretell J. 🟨,
  • 18', Pena S. 🟨,
  • 40', Duarte A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Castro M. 🟥,
  • 66', Gaibor F. , Ceppelini P. ,
  • 67', Avila I. , Pacheco F. ,
  • 67', Wisdom I. , Yotun Y. ,
  • 68', Pena S. 🟨,
  • 76', Pacheco F. 🟨,
  • 79', Yotun Y. 🟨,
  • 82', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 83', Gentile G. , Succar M. ,
  • 90+5', Enriquez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
45.9%
Draw
27.8%
Sporting Cristal
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 27.6% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.2)
    3.35
    (3.43)
    3.5
    (3.22)
    7.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 2 - 50%). Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.
    • Alianza Lima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sporting Cristal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alianza Lima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J. (Broken nose) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Tendon Injury) Paolo Guerrero (Ankle Injury) Pena S. (Muscle Injury) Zambrano C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Posito Olazabal A. J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A. (Muscle Injury) Cari P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Solis R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 1:2
    17.08.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 0:0
    30.06.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    09.03.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:2
    08.07.2023 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal541011:01113
    2U. de Deportes541010:3713
    3Cusco44008:1712
    4Deportivo Garcilaso52307:349
    5Alianza Lima52214:408
    6Sport Huancayo52128:807
    7Alianza Atl51313:306
    8AD Tarma42022:4-26
    9Los Chankas42026:10-46
    10Cienciano51226:515
    11Binacional41212:205
    12Juan Pablo II51226:8-25
    13FBC Melgar51223:5-25
    14Grau41126:8-24
    15Alianza Huanuco51135:8-34
    16Ayacucho51134:7-34
    17Sport Boys51131:6-54
    18Comerciantes Unidos40224:7-32
    19Cajamarca40132:6-41

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