Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima
Result
1:2
01/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.81
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1213
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
89
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
12
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
715
Offsides
01
Fouls
157
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1510
Touches in the Opposition Box
2119
Passes
78% (255/325)80% (240/299)
Passes in the final third
65% (63/97)76% (91/119)
Crosses
20% (6/30)13% (2/15)
Tackles
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Clearances Total
3046
Interceptions
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Velasquez J. (Own goal),
  • 19', Cabellos C. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ,
  • 34', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Archimbaud J. , Aguirre G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Cabellos C. , Tavara M. ,
  • 56', Sosa M. , Castro M. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Cantero A. , Gaibor F. (A),
  • 63', Avila I. , Gonzales C. ,
  • 76', D'Arrigo J. , Garces R. ,
  • 79', Pretell J. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 79', Lora J. , Chavez G. ,
  • 80', Romero F. 🟨,
  • 90', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 90', Cantero A. , Succar M. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
49.9%
Draw
28.3%
Alianza Lima
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 26.9% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Cristal's performance.
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.29)
    3.32
    (3.38)
    4.33
    (3.07)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Sporting Cristal will win! (12 of 13 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 2.
    • Sporting Cristal in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alianza Lima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sporting Cristal is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury) Sosa L. (Muscle Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:13 (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Cristal won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 0.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima 0:0
    30.06.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    09.03.2024 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 1:2
    08.07.2023 Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com
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