Sporting Cristal vs ADT Tarma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.04
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
144
Passes
90% (554/616)71% (173/242)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.84
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
144
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Passes
90% (554/616)71% (173/242)
Long passes
74% (37/50)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
84% (183/217)60% (48/80)
Crosses
24% (11/45)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.61
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
118
Tackles
82% (14/17)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
1840
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.840.48
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Vidales J. , Cabello C. (A),
  • 13', Fernandez A. , Da Luz M. ,
  • 22', Barreto G. 🟨,
  • 34', Lora J. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Tavara M. , Gonzales C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Lutiger R. 🟨,
  • 61', Gonzales C. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 61', Pacheco F. , Moretti J. ,
  • 63', Montenegro D. , Perez A. ,
  • 74', Lora J. , Castro M. ,
  • 75', Pasquini N. , Chavez G. ,
  • 76', Cedron V. 🟨,
  • 89', Barreto G. , Ascues C. ,
  • 90', Cauteruccio M. , Avila I. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Castro M. , Alarcon J. (A),

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
66.2%
Draw
20.1%
ADT Tarma
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 18.6% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 18.1% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.47)
    4.65
    (5.1)
    6.79
    (5.51)
    7.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
    • Sporting Cristal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, ADT has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting Cristal is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in ADT: Desio G. (Knee Injury) Narvaez J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury) Sosa L. (Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    12.07.2024 ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal 3:1
    27.01.2024 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma 6:2
    06.08.2023 ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    04.03.2023 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma 0:0
    29.09.2022 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma 4:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    2FBC Melgar1273221:13824
    3U. de Deportes1272327:121523
    4Alianza Lima1272315:10523
    5Sporting Cristal1271422:15722
    6Alianza Atl1271418:11722
    7Cusco1262423:17620
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1362520:14620
    9AD Tarma1354422:23-119
    10Sport Boys1244420:20016
    11Los Chankas1236317:17015
    12Cienciano1235417:18-114
    13Cajamarca1242613:23-1014
    14Binacional1234515:20-513
    15Grau1126314:18-412
    16Juan Pablo II1132613:16-311
    17Comerciantes Unidos1115513:21-88
    18Ayacucho121389:22-136
    19Alianza Huanuco1213810:24-146

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