ADT Tarma vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal
04/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
37.6%
Draw
26.2%
Sporting Cristal
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 25.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 25.9% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.35)
    3.57
    (3.55)
    2.59
    (2.6)
    8.5%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma 2:1
    12.07.2024 ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal 3:1
    27.01.2024 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma 6:2
    06.08.2023 ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    04.03.2023 Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma 0:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    22.09.2025 Cusco - ADT Tarma 0:2
    16.09.2025 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 3:1
    31.08.2025 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 2:0
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1073018:81024
    2Cusco961213:8519
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1046014:8618
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5AD Tarma1051411:12-116
    6Alianza Lima943214:9515
    7FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    8Grau1042415:13214
    9Cienciano933314:12212
    10Sport Huancayo1133517:19-212
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas840412:20-812
    13Alianza Atl92436:4210
    14Juan Pablo II92438:10-210
    15Ayacucho103168:14-610
    16Alianza Huanuco1031611:18-710
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca90366:14-83
    19Binacional00000:000

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