Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife
Result
3:1
12/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 3
Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
83% (333/400)86% (395/460)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.460.38
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
011
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
2231
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
83% (333/400)86% (395/460)
Long passes
53% (20/38)55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
74% (78/105)81% (113/140)
Crosses
33% (3/9)0% (0/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.75
Fouls
1114
Tackles
70% (14/20)67% (8/12)
Duels won
6339
Clearances Total
3814
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.382.46
Goals prevented
0.38-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 31', Rivera C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Vegetti P. , Coutinho (A),
  • 41', Pablo , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Vegetti P. , Moreira N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 1, Hugo Moura (Own goal),
  • 62', Garre B. , Adson ,
  • 62', Tche Tche , Jair ,
  • 65', Lucas Lima , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 65', Du Queiroz , Dominguez F. ,
  • 65', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 69', Coutinho , Payet D. ,
  • 78', Vegetti P. , Alex Teixeira ,
  • 78', Moreira N. , Rayan ,
  • 80', Lucas Cunha , Romarinho ,
  • 81', Jair 🟨,
  • 81', Alex Teixeira 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Rayan , Payet D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
48.9%
Draw
28.1%
Sport Recife
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 24.9% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 24.5% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.81)
    3.37
    (3.78)
    4.11
    (4.08)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.
    • Recent matches Vasco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recife is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Vasco is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vasco: David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Recife: Dalbert (Calf Injury) Paciencia G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Atencio R. (Toe Injury) Hereda (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Vasco won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife were as follows:
    16.10.2022 Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    06.04.2025 Sport Recife - Palmeiras 1:2
    29.03.2025 São Paulo - Sport Recife 0:0
    26.03.2025 Sport Recife - Altos 0:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ18124233:82540
    2Cruzeiro19114431:131837
    3Palmeiras17113323:15836
    4Bahia1786323:16730
    5Botafogo RJ1785423:101329
    6Mirassol1777328:181028
    7Sao Paulo1977522:20228
    8Bragantino1983822:25-327
    9Fluminense1773721:23-224
    10Atletico-MG1766519:18124
    11Internacional1866621:23-224
    12Ceara1864818:19-122
    13Corinthians1957718:23-522
    14Santos1863920:23-321
    15Gremio1855816:24-820
    16Vitoria1939716:22-618
    17Vasco1744919:24-516
    18Fortaleza1836918:29-1115
    19Juventude17421113:36-2314
    20Sport Recife17161010:25-159

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