São Paulo vs Sport Recife: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Sport Recife
Result
0:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
São Paulo - Sport Recife - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.30
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (457/527)79% (238/302)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.22
Total shots
158
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
245
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2117
Passes
87% (457/527)79% (238/302)
Long passes
39% (18/46)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
71% (67/94)57% (34/60)
Crosses
35% (7/20)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.30
Fouls
1721
Tackles
57% (8/14)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5152
Clearances Total
1031
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.220.27
Goals prevented
0.220.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Jonathan Calleri (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sabino , Ferreira ,
  • 46', Wendell , Diaz E. ,
  • 59', Lucas Lima 🟨,
  • 62', Lobato L. , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 62', Pablo , Arthur Sousa ,
  • 69', Luciano , Lucas Ferreira ,
  • 69', Marcos Antonio , Matheus Alves ,
  • 75', Du Queiroz , Dominguez F. ,
  • 75', Lucas Lima , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 75', Jonathan Calleri , Andre Silva ,
  • 82', Hereda , Hyoran ,
  • 90+3', Hyoran 🟨,
  • 90+9', Alisson , Ryan Francisco ,
  • 90+11', Igor Carius , Lucas Cunha ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
56.7%
Draw
26.3%
Sport Recife
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 23.5% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 27.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • São Paulo - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.56)
    3.64
    (4.02)
    5.55
    (5.99)
    5.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 71.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia (Inactive) Young (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Luiz Gustavo (Inactive) Rodriguinho (Inactive)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:10 (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Sport Recife were as follows:
    01.06.2023 São Paulo - Sport Recife 2:3
    17.05.2023 Sport Recife - São Paulo 0:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Sport Recife?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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