Sport Recife vs Red Bull Bragantino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
0:1
16/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 4
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.39
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (398/479)78% (242/310)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.681.63
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
124
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3222
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
83% (398/479)78% (242/310)
Long passes
58% (30/52)60% (27/45)
Passes in final third
77% (144/186)67% (46/69)
Crosses
13% (5/39)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.47
Fouls
1012
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4762
Clearances Total
1446
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
1.630.68
Goals prevented
0.630.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Juninho Capixaba ,
  • 24', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 42', Dominguez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dominguez F. , Atencio R. ,
  • 49', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
  • 61', Fabinho , Eric Ramires ,
  • 61', Jhon Jhon , Pitta I. ,
  • 62', Mosquera H. , Vinicinho ,
  • 62', Matheus Alexandre , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 62', Du Queiroz , Ortiz C. ,
  • 70', Lucas Barbosa , Eduardo Santos ,
  • 74', Eduardo Sasha , Borbas T. ,
  • 74', Chrystian Barletta , Gustavo Maia ,
  • 82', Rivera C. , Ze Lucas ,
  • 87', Borbas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
40.3%
Draw
30%
Red Bull Bragantino
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 29.7% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.9% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.53)
    3.18
    (3.17)
    3.25
    (2.86)
    5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 1.
    • Recife has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently RB Bragantino have a series of home games.
    • Recife will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Recife: Antonio Carlos (Inactive) Dalbert (Calf Injury) Igor Carius (Inactive)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabinho (Inactive) Fernando (Tendon Injury) Nathan Mendes (Thigh Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Paciencia G. (Inactive) Rafael Thyere (Inactive) Ze Roberto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eric Ramires (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Recife won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    06.04.2025 Sport Recife - Palmeiras 1:2
    29.03.2025 São Paulo - Sport Recife 0:0
    26.03.2025 Sport Recife - Altos 0:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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