Result
3:0
25/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.21 | 0.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (309/374) | 85% (371/437) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.21 | 0.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.45 | 0.01 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
17 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (309/374) | 85% (371/437) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (31/53) | 49% (21/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (79/104) | 65% (64/99) |
Crosses |
---|
64% (9/14) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.82 | 0.42 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (12/22) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.01 | 3.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.01 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Vitor Roque (A),
- 21', Kevyson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽, Mauricio (A),
- 60', Kevyson ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 60', Pablo ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 60', Ze Lucas ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
- 68', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 68', Mauricio ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 82', Lucas Lima ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 84', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Allan ↑,
- 84', Khellven ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 85', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
- 90+2', Piquerez J. ↓, Jefte ↑,
- 90+2', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras 71.4% | Draw 18.9% | Sport Recife 9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Palmeiras - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.38) |
5 ↑ (4.63) |
9.85 ↑ (8.3) |
5.3% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 60%). Recife (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
- Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Recife's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Carlos Miguel
(Inactive)
Moreno A.
(Yellow Cards)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Yellow Cards)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Sport Recife?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Palmeiras?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Sport Recife were as follows:
06.04.2025
Sport Recife
-
Palmeiras
1:2
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Sport Recife?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |