Sport Recife vs Internacional RS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Internacional RS
Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Sport Recife - Internacional RS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.27
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
78% (250/322)86% (477/555)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.75
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
78% (250/322)86% (477/555)
Long passes
53% (26/49)53% (35/66)
Passes in final third
67% (65/97)74% (93/126)
Crosses
43% (9/21)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.82
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
1110
Tackles
81% (13/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5748
Clearances
2928
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.751.13
Goals prevented
-0.250.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 18', Aguirre B. 🟨,
  • 24', Ricardo Mathias , Lucca ,
  • 35', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
  • 37', Toni Oliveira 🟨,
  • 41', Oliveira S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romero O. , Vitinho ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Gustavo Prado , Thiago Maia (A),
  • 62', Bruno Tabata , Yago ,
  • 62', Thiago Maia , Luis Otavio ,
  • 68', Gustavo Prado , Raykkonen ,
  • 70', Oliveira S. , Du Queiroz ,
  • 70', Chrystian Barletta , Ortiz C. ,
  • 79', Lucas Cunha , Romarinho ,
  • 83', Ronaldo 🟥,
  • 90+2', Igor Carius , Dalbert ,
  • 90+2', Ze Lucas , Atencio R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
37.7%
Draw
30.5%
Internacional RS
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 28.8% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 29% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.
  • Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sport Recife - Internacional RS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (3.06)
    3.11
    (3.28)
    2.99
    (2.34)
    5.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Internacional RS?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Internacional will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 33.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sport Recife will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
    • Recife is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Internacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Internacional has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Recife: Paciencia G. (Thigh Injury) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Internacional: Borre R. (Hamstring Injury) Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Carbonero J. (Hamstring Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Mercado G. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Broken Hand) Valencia E. (Hamstring Injury) Vitinho (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Internacional: Victor Gabriel (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    17.05.2025 Ceará - Sport Recife 2:0
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    03.05.2025 Fluminense - Sport Recife 2:1
    26.04.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:0
    19.04.2025 Corinthians - Sport Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Internacional RS
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Ceara2175919:20-126
    11Corinthians2268823:28-526
    12Gremio2167820:26-625
    13Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    14Internacional2066823:28-524
    15Santos21641120:31-1122
    16Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    17Juventude21631219:41-2221
    18Vasco20541127:29-219
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife19171112:30-1810

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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