Mantova vs Spezia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Mantova - Spezia
Result
2:2
13/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 33
  • Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)
Mantova - Spezia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.881.07
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
318
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (524/585)73% (206/283)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.881.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.95
Total shots
318
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
163
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
225
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
4321
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2112
Passes
90% (524/585)73% (206/283)
Long passes
56% (15/27)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
87% (138/159)65% (63/97)
Crosses
30% (8/27)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.860.73
Fouls
1221
Tackles
43% (6/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5747
Clearances Total
3432
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.951.89
Goals prevented
-0.05-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Aurelio G. , Esposito Sa. (A),
  • 41', Radaelli N. , Maggioni T. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Esposito Sa. , Esposito F. (A),
  • 61', Mancuso L. , Debenedetti A. ,
  • 61', Fiori A. , Ruocco F. ,
  • 63', Bertola N. 🟥,
  • 64', Lapadula G. , Benvenuto M. ,
  • 66', Elia S. 🟨,
  • 75', Wieser D. , Bragantini D. ,
  • 75', Mensah D. , Aramu M. ,
  • 75', Esposito F. , Di Serio G. ,
  • 76', Bandinelli F. , Cassata F. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Maggioni T. , Ruocco F. (A),
  • 83', Cassata F. 🟨,
  • 88', Elia S. , Giorgeschi S. ,
  • 90+1', Cella S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Maggioni T. , Aramu M. (A),
  • 90+5', Maggioni T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mantova
23.9%
Draw
25.4%
Spezia
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 25.9% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 25.5% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Mantova - Spezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.9
    (4.33)
    3.65
    (3.6)
    1.86
    (1.77)
    7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mantova - Spezia?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Spezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Spezia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Reca A. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury) Soleri E. (Injury) Wisniewski P. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Mantova: Fedel G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Vignali L. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Spezia were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Spezia - Mantova 1:1
    Latest results of Mantova
    05.04.2025 Brescia - Mantova 1:2
    16.03.2025 Pisa - Mantova 0:0
    08.03.2025 Mantova - Juve Stabia 1:1
    01.03.2025 Frosinone - Mantova 2:1
    Latest results of Spezia
    06.04.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:0
    28.03.2025 Spezia - Brescia 0:1
    15.03.2025 Cesena - Spezia 0:0
    09.03.2025 Spezia - Pisa 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Spezia (3)Bye
    2Catanzaro (6)Cesena (7)1 : 0
    3Cremonese (4)Bye
    4Juve Stabia (5)Palermo (8)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Spezia (3)Catanzaro (6)
    2Cremonese (4)Juve Stabia (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Mantova - Spezia?
    It is being streamed on channel
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
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