Fiorentina vs Spezia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Spezia
Result
1:1
08/04/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
Fiorentina - Spezia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Fiorentina
67.2%
Draw
20.6%
Spezia
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 21.1% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 20.3% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Spezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.44)
    4.66
    (4.49)
    7.72
    (7.25)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 36 - 81.8%). Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 70.4%93.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17).
    • Fiorentina has the most likely position - 8 (26.8%), project points - 57, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), not chance of win league.
    • Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (34.48%), project points - 34, currently - 25, a chance of relegated (24%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 58, small importance 21, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Fiorentina in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Spezia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fiorentina have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fiorentina is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.44.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Spezia were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Spezia - Fiorentina 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    05.04.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    01.04.2023 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 0:1
    19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    16.03.2023 Sivasspor - Fiorentina 1:4
    12.03.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Spezia
    02.04.2023 Spezia - Salernitana 1:1
    17.03.2023 Sassuolo - Spezia 1:0
    10.03.2023 Spezia - Inter Milan 2:1
    05.03.2023 Spezia - Verona 0:0
    26.02.2023 Udinese - Spezia 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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