Empoli vs Spezia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Empoli - Spezia
Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 3
  • Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
Empoli - Spezia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.67
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (262/345)72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.752.42
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2020
Passes
76% (262/345)72% (227/316)
Long passes
33% (16/48)38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)50% (39/78)
Crosses
29% (5/17)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.80
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
2120
Tackles
71% (10/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
6060
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.421.75
Goals prevented
1.420.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Yepes G. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Esposito Sa. (Pen),
  • 27', Pagliuca G. 🟨,
  • 43', Cassata F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yepes G. , Ilie R. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Popov B. ,
  • 60', Cassata F. , Zurkowski S. ,
  • 60', Vlahovic V. , Di Serio G. ,
  • 62', Elia S. 🟨,
  • 72', Popov B. , Konate I. ,
  • 72', Elia S. , Moruzzi B. ,
  • 72', Artistico G. , Soleri E. ,
  • 81', Ghion A. , Belardinelli L. ,
  • 84', Beruatto P. , Cistana A. ,
  • 84', Ceesay J. , Ebuehi T. ,
  • 89', Ilie R. 🟨,
  • 90', Nagy A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Empoli
27.9%
Draw
32.2%
Spezia
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 30.2% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 31.4% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.
  • Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spezia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Empoli - Spezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (2.27)
    3.2
    (3.1)
    2.59
    (3.29)
    -4.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Empoli - Spezia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1.
    • In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spezia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Guarino G. (Red Card) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Nasti M. (Red Card) Obaretin N. (Red Card) Saporiti E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G. (Inactive) Bandinelli F. (Inactive) Sarr M. (Inactive) Vignali L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Campaniello T. (Inactive) Yepes G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Lapadula G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Spezia were as follows:
    26.07.2024 Empoli - Spezia 2:0
    11.02.2023 Empoli - Spezia 2:2
    Latest results of Empoli
    29.08.2025 Reggiana - Empoli 3:1
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    15.08.2025 Empoli - Reggiana 2:1
    05.08.2025 Empoli - Sassuolo 0:0
    30.07.2025 Empoli - Pisa 2:3
    Latest results of Spezia
    30.08.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:0
    24.08.2025 Spezia - Carrarese 0:2
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    10.08.2025 Spezia - Vis Pesaro Canceled
    10.08.2025 Spezia - Sestri Levante 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena43109:2710
    2Palermo43106:1510
    3Cesena43108:4410
    4Frosinone42205:238
    5Monza42114:317
    6Avellino42117:707
    7Juve Stabia41304:226
    8Carrarese41216:515
    9Reggiana41216:515
    10Sudtirol41216:605
    11Venezia41215:505
    12Entella41214:405
    13Pescara41128:714
    14Catanzaro40404:404
    15Padova41123:5-24
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova41033:6-33
    18Spezia40222:6-42
    19Bari40132:8-61
    20Sampdoria40042:8-60

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Empoli - Spezia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
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