Spezia vs Cremonese: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Spezia - Cremonese
Result
2:3
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 38
  • Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
Spezia - Cremonese - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
81% (286/352)76% (226/297)
Yellow Cards
27
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.632.85
Total shots
179
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3715
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2214
Passes
81% (286/352)76% (226/297)
Long passes
50% (16/32)34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
73% (96/131)56% (34/61)
Crosses
31% (11/36)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.730.69
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
1422
Tackles
91% (10/11)75% (3/4)
Duels won
7340
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.851.63
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Barbieri T. , Azzi P. (A),
  • 17', 0 - 2, Azzi P. , Vandeputte J. (A),
  • 26', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
  • 31', Mateju A. 🟨,
  • 31', Barbieri T. 🟨,
  • 33', Johnsen D. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 3, Vandeputte J. , De Luca M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Esposito Sa. , Candelari P. ,
  • 50', Pickel C. 🟨,
  • 56', Vignali L. 🟨,
  • 59', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
  • 63', Vandeputte J. , Moretti L. ,
  • 66', Cassata F. , Lapadula G. ,
  • 66', Aurelio G. , Kouda R. ,
  • 69', 1 - 3, Esposito F. , Wisniewski P. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 3, Lapadula G. (Pen),
  • 75', Pickel C. , Gelli F. ,
  • 76', Johnsen D. , Valoti M. ,
  • 81', Di Serio G. , Colak A. ,
  • 82', Castagnetti M. , Majer Z. ,
  • 82', De Luca M. , Nasti M. ,
  • 87', Vignali L. , Falcinelli D. ,
  • 88', Nasti M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Valoti M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Spezia
40.8%
Draw
28%
Cremonese
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.4% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 29.2% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Spezia - Cremonese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.35)
    3.36
    (3.31)
    3.02
    (2.97)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Spezia - Cremonese?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Spezia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0.
    • Spezia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cremonese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Elia S. (Yellow Cards) Reca A. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury) Soleri E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Ceccherini F. (Yellow Cards) Collocolo M. (Inactive) Saro G. (Knee Injury) Vazquez F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Cremonese were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Cremonese - Spezia 1:1
    20.01.2024 Spezia - Cremonese 0:1
    05.11.2023 Cremonese - Spezia 3:0
    06.05.2023 Cremonese - Spezia 2:0
    16.10.2022 Spezia - Cremonese 2:2
    Latest results of Spezia
    04.05.2025 Reggiana - Spezia 2:1
    01.05.2025 Spezia - Salernitana 2:0
    25.04.2025 Frosinone - Spezia 2:2
    13.04.2025 Mantova - Spezia 2:2
    06.04.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:0
    Latest results of Cremonese
    04.05.2025 Cremonese - Sassuolo 1:1
    01.05.2025 Sampdoria - Cremonese 0:0
    25.04.2025 Cremonese - Mantova 4:2
    13.04.2025 Cremonese - Juve Stabia 1:1
    04.04.2025 Reggiana - Cremonese 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Spezia (3)Bye
    2Catanzaro (6)Cesena (7)1 : 0
    3Cremonese (4)Bye
    4Juve Stabia (5)Palermo (8)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Spezia (3)Catanzaro (6)
    2Cremonese (4)Juve Stabia (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Spezia - Cremonese?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
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