Spezia vs Cesena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Spezia - Cesena
18/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 8
  • Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
Spezia - Cesena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.17
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
79% (378/476)74% (261/351)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.82
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
2019
Passes
79% (378/476)74% (261/351)
Long passes
50% (34/68)25% (17/67)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)63% (56/89)
Crosses
32% (10/31)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.27
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1920
Tackles
30% (3/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2048
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.821.10
Goals prevented
-0.180.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lapadula G. , Aurelio G. (A),
  • 17', Francesconi M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Frabotta G. , Ciofi A. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Frabotta G. , Castagnetti M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kouda R. , Vignali L. ,
  • 48', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
  • 63', Cassata F. , Candelari P. ,
  • 63', Aurelio G. , Beruatto P. ,
  • 71', Soleri E. , Vlahovic V. ,
  • 73', Francesconi M. , Adamo E. ,
  • 77', Klinsmann J. 🟨,
  • 79', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
  • 83', Nagy A. , Di Serio G. ,
  • 83', Ciervo R. , Guidi M. ,
  • 83', Shpendi C. , Balde S. ,
  • 90+5', Esposito Sa. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Spezia
47.1%
Draw
29.6%
Cesena
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.6% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.4% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Spezia - Cesena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.15)
    3.32
    (3.27)
    4.3
    (3.36)
    2.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Spezia - Cesena?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.
    • Spezia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cesena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Spezia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Cesena: Bastoni S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Zurkowski S. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Cesena were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Cesena - Spezia 0:0
    01.09.2024 Spezia - Cesena 2:1
    Latest results of Spezia
    04.10.2025 Spezia - Palermo 1:2
    30.09.2025 Reggiana - Spezia 1:1
    27.09.2025 Venezia - Spezia 2:0
    24.09.2025 Parma - Spezia 3:2
    20.09.2025 Spezia - Juve Stabia 1:3
    Latest results of Cesena
    04.10.2025 Cesena - Reggiana 1:2
    30.09.2025 Frosinone - Cesena 3:1
    27.09.2025 Cesena - Palermo 1:1
    20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2
    13.09.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena752013:31017
    2Palermo74309:3615
    3Frosinone842213:8514
    4Cesena842213:11214
    5Monza84228:6214
    6Juve Stabia834110:8213
    7Venezia733110:5512
    8Reggiana833213:11212
    9Avellino833211:11012
    10Carrarese825113:9411
    11Sudtirol824212:11110
    12Entella82339:11-29
    13Empoli723210:13-39
    14Padova72237:9-28
    15Catanzaro70617:8-16
    16Pescara813413:16-36
    17Bari81348:15-76
    18Sampdoria81258:13-55
    19Mantova81256:14-85
    20Spezia80355:13-83

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Spezia - Cesena?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
    worldWorldOnefootball
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