Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam
Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.65
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (345/439)77% (295/381)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.492.16
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
97
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3330
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
79% (345/439)77% (295/381)
Long passes
44% (35/80)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
66% (94/142)61% (79/129)
Crosses
17% (4/24)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.13
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
118
Tackles
60% (6/10)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
2349
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
2.160.49
Goals prevented
1.160.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Naujoks N. 🟨,
  • 44', Toornstra J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
  • 65', Wlodarczyk S. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 65', Naujoks N. , Nadje C. ,
  • 74', Zagre A. 🟨,
  • 74', Clement P. , Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 74', Ltaief S. , Oufkir A. ,
  • 77', Sanches Fernandes D. , Mitrovic S. ,
  • 77', de Regt G. , Yoon D. ,
  • 78', Zagre A. 🟨,
  • 80', Carlen A. , Janssen S. ,
  • 90+2', Quintero T. , de Guzman J. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Oufkir A. , van Aanholt P. (A),
  • 90+4', van Bergen M. , Velthuis T. ,

Chances of winning


Excelsior
36.1%
Draw
26.4%
Sparta Rotterdam
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.8% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 26.2% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.99)
    3.6
    (3.58)
    2.49
    (2.32)
    5.2%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
    • Excelsior is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sparta Rotterdam has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sparta Rotterdam might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Henderikx S. (Red Card) Naujoks N. (Inactive) Schouten L. (Muscle Injury) Tielemans M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Duijvestijn L. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Bronkhorst I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Knee Injury) de Guzman J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior 4:2
    01.10.2023 Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    05.03.2023 Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
    14.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior 1:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    16.08.2025 Excelsior - Feyenoord 1:2
    09.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior 5:0
    19.07.2025 Dordrecht - Excelsior 2:2
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4AZ Alkmaar633014:9512
    5Groningen640212:9312
    6Sittard631210:9110
    7Nijmegen630319:1279
    8Utrecht630311:569
    9G.A. Eagles623111:929
    10Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    11Twente62139:817
    12Zwolle62136:9-37
    13NAC Breda62136:10-47
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
    nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
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