Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Prague: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava).

: Chance Liga - Championship Group - Round 4
Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.79
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
7	15
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
73% (212/292)	77% (269/350)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	0.63
Total shots
7	15
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
0	6
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
8	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
73% (212/292)	77% (269/350)
Long passes
39% (28/72)	42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
59% (61/103)	66% (88/133)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	1.92
Throw-ins
11	31
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
87% (13/15)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
47	50
Clearances
44	20
Interceptions
12	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.63	0.54
Goals prevented
-1.37	-2.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Sin M. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Lischka D. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
25', Zeleny J. 🟨,
32', 3 - 0, Kohut M. ⚽, Rigo T. (A),
40', Lischka D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 3 - 1, Kuchta J. ⚽,
54', Holzer D. 🟨,
64', 3 - 2, Sadilek L. ⚽, Vydra P. (A),
65', Buchta D. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
65', Holzer D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
76', Rrahmani A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
76', Sin M. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
80', Zeleny J. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
86', Preciado A. ↓, Penxa L. ↑,
86', Laci Q. ↓, Horak R. ↑,
89', Rigo T. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
90+2', Holec D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Baník Ostrava
38%

Draw
26.3%

Sparta Prague
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.65)	3.57 ↑ (3.51)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)	6.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1.
Baník Ostrava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sparta Prague is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Baník Ostrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Frydrych M. (Red Card)
There will not play in Sparta Prague: Birmancevic V. (Ankle Injury) Olatunji V. (Yellow Cards) Wiesner T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Ewerton (Injury) Kornezos G. (Injury) Rigo T. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Haraslin L. (Calf Injury) Panak F. (Injury) Sorensen A. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Sparta Prague?

Baník Ostrava has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Baník Ostrava?

Sparta Prague has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague were as follows:

05.04.2025 Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague 1:1

02.11.2024 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 1:3

14.05.2024 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 2:1

20.04.2024 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 4:3

12.11.2023 Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague 0:1

Latest results of Baník Ostrava

11.05.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Baník Ostrava - Jablonec 1:2 ✺

22.04.2025 Baník Ostrava - Sigma Olomouc 2:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Baník Ostrava - Bohemians 1905 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sparta Prague

14.05.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague 3:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Slavia Prague - Sparta Prague 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Sparta Prague - Jablonec 1:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Sparta Prague - Viktoria Plzeň 1:0 ✺

Czech 1 Liga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dukla Prague	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Slovacko	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Hradec Kralove	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bohemians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liberec	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Mlada Boleslav	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Ostrava	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plzen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sigma Olomouc	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Slavia Prague	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sparta Prague	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Teplice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Zlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Karvina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	FK Pardubice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
      Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
World	Onefootball