Germany W vs Spain W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Germany W - Spain W
Result
0:1 ET
23/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
Germany W - Spain W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.23
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1522
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
72% (254/351)87% (626/720)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.56
Total shots
1522
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
918
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1739
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
2014
Passes
72% (254/351)87% (626/720)
Long passes
35% (25/72)61% (31/51)
Passes in final third
48% (29/60)72% (159/222)
Crosses
19% (3/16)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.37
Throw-ins
2137
Fouls
1420
Tackles
50% (16/32)50% (9/18)
Duels won
6856
Clearances
3416
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
1.561.22
Goals prevented
0.561.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Dabritz S. 🟨,
  • 20', Gonzalez Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Dabritz S. ↓, Dallmann L. ↑,
  • 68', Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ↓, Paralluelo S. ↑,
  • 77', Pina C. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
  • 86', Hoffmann G. ↓, Cerci S. ↑,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 97', Kleinherne S. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
  • 103', Caldentey M. ↓, Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ↑,
  • 107', Guijarro P. 🟨,
  • 111', Paralluelo S. 🟨,
  • 113', 0 - 1, Bonmati A. ⚽, del Castillo A. (A),
  • 114', Senss E. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Germany W
16.2%		Draw
21.4%		Spain W
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 22.9% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 22.9% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germany W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany W than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain W than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Germany W - Spain W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.77 ↓
    (6)    		 4.42 ↑
    (4.1)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.53)    		 5.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Germany W - Spain W?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). Spain will win (votes: 22 - 81.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 66.9% – 96.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Spain (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spain W will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Germany is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Spain is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Spain is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germany W - Spain W were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Spain W - Germany W 0:1
    Latest results of Germany W
    19.07.2025 France W - Germany W 1:2 ✺
    12.07.2025 Sweden W - Germany W 4:1 ✺
    08.07.2025 Germany W - Denmark W 2:1 ✺
    04.07.2025 Germany W - Poland W 2:0 ✺
    03.06.2025 Austria W - Germany W 0:6 ✺
    Latest results of Spain W
    18.07.2025 Spain W - Switzerland W 2:0 ✺
    11.07.2025 Italy W - Spain W 1:3 ✺
    07.07.2025 Spain W - Belgium W 6:2 ✺
    03.07.2025 Spain W - Portugal W 5:0 ✺
    27.06.2025 Spain W - Japan W 3:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Germany W - Spain W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
    albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    armeniaArmenia1TV
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
    austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
    bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusRIK 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
    denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
    estoniaEstoniaETV 2
    finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
    franceFranceFrance 3, Free, Molotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
    georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
    germanyGermanyARD, Das Erste, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceERT 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
    icelandIcelandRUV
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyRaiPlay, RAI Sport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoRTK 1
    latviaLatviaLTV 7
    lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
    maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
    montenegroMontenegroTVCG 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, Sporza
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1, MRT Play
    norwayNorwayNRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalRTP 2, Sport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
    serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
    sloveniaSloveniaSlovenia TV2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandRSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24
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