Spain vs Czech Republic, UEFA Nations League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Nations League Spain - Czech Republic
Result
3:1
03/10/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 3
  • Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
Spain - Czech Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.980.49
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
102
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
50
Passes
92% (703/766)82% (280/340)
Yellow cards
16
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.980.49
xG on target (xGOT)
3.630.69
Total shots
185
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
348
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1311
Passes
92% (703/766)82% (280/340)
Long passes
66% (25/38)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
82% (136/166)56% (37/66)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.10
Throw ins
2212
Fouls
1113
Tackles
61% (11/18)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3736
Clearances
911
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.693.63
Goals prevented
-0.310.63
Goal kicks
19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Baena A. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
  • 46', Lamine Yamal ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
  • 57', Ambros L. ↓, Naderi R. ↑,
  • 57', Macek R. ↓, Cerv L. ↑,
  • 67', Olmo D. ↓, Fermin ↑,
  • 67', Pedri ↓, Merino M. ↑,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Slama J. ⚽, Hlozek A. (A),
  • 73', Kral A. ↓, Sadilek M. ↑,
  • 73', Radosta M. ↓, Bucha P. ↑,
  • 77', Rodri ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
  • 79', Krejci L. 🟨,
  • 82', Sadilek M. 🟨,
  • 85', Denia S. 🟨,
  • 85', Krejci L. 🟨,
  • 87', Hlozek A. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
  • 89', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Merino M. ⚽,
  • 90', Chaloupek S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kinsky A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fermin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Spain
89.6%
Draw
7.2%
Czech Republic
3.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.1% 14.6% 6.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spain's performance.
  • Czech Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Spain - Czech Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.07 ↓
    (1.2)
    13.38 ↑
    (6.5)
    30.14 ↑
    (15)
    4.5%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
    What is the prediction for Spain - Czech Republic?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -3 - Spain (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • O/U 3.75 - under (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 5.5 - over (4.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1.5, 1st Half - Czech Republic (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Spain will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Czech Republic (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Spain is ranked FIFA: 1., and Czech Republic is ranked FIFA: 48..
    • In this match, Spain enters as the overwhelming favorite.
    • Confirmed absences for Spain: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Inactive) Grimaldo A. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Ankle Injury) Williams N. (Thigh Injury).
    • Confirmed absences for Czech Republic: Chory T. (Health problems) Jurasek D. (Thigh Injury) Karabec A. (Ankle Injury) Provod L. (Knee Injury) Rynes M. (Ankle Injury) Sulc P. (Red Card) Visinsky D. (Injury) Vlcek T. (Groin Injury) Zima D. (Ankle Injury).
    • Doubtful / questionable for Czech Republic: Coufal V. (Knee Injury).
    • In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spain has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
    Latest results of Spain
    29.09.2026 Spain - Croatia 4:1 ✺
    26.09.2026 England - Spain 2:3 ✺
    19.07.2026 Spain - Argentina 1:0 ✺
    14.07.2026 France - Spain 0:2 ✺
    10.07.2026 Spain - Belgium 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Czech Republic
    UEFA Nations League Table
    League A

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France43107:2510
    2Italy42118:537
    3Belgium42026:516
    4Turkey40042:11-90


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Netherlands42207:528
    2Greece42205:328
    3Germany41213:215
    4Serbia40043:8-50


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain ✔ 440012:5712
    2England430114:3119
    3Croatia41034:14-103
    4Czech Republic40042:10-80


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal ✔ 44009:4512
    2Denmark42027:706
    3Wales41032:5-33
    4Norway41036:8-23

          Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
          Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Spain - Czech Republic?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    belarusBelarusSport TV
    boliviaBoliviaESPN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN
    estoniaEstoniaGo3 Extra Sports
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceAlpha TV, Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
    hungaryHungaryTV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 4, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    lithuaniaLithuaniaGo3 Extra Sports
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    paraguayParaguayESPN
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyA Haber
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
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