Townsville Blackhawks vs Souths Logan Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian Queensland Cup Townsville Blackhawks - Souths Logan Magpies
Result
40:22
03/08/2024 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: Hostplus Cup - Round 20
Townsville Blackhawks - Souths Logan Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
74
Conversion Goals
63
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (22 - 4)
  • 6', Brown N. (Try),
  • 8', Tovo L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 19', Laybutt K. (Try),
  • 21', Tovo L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Robinson R. (Try),
  • 34', Halalilo N. (Try),
  • 35', Tovo L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 18)
  • 44', Sailor T. (Try),
  • 45', Finnegan B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Paraia K. (Try),
  • 56', Finnegan B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Coburn T. (Try),
  • 60', Finnegan B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Dotoi D. (Try),
  • 65', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 65', Coburn T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Tovo L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Hampson E. (Try),
  • 76', Tovo L. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Townsville Blackhawks
62.7%
Draw
3.6%
Souths Logan Magpies
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 3.4% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 2.6% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Townsville Blackhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Souths Logan Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Townsville Blackhawks than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Townsville Blackhawks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souths Logan Magpies than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Souths Logan Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Townsville Blackhawks - Souths Logan Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.57)
    26.09
    (27)
    2.76
    (2.47)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Townsville won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Souths Logan have a series of home games.
    • Townsville will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Townsville won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 336-220.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Townsville won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 166-92.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Townsville Blackhawks - Souths Logan Magpies were as follows:
    16.06.2024 Souths Logan Magpies - Townsville Blackhawks 14:26
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Burleigh (1)Wynnum Manly (4)22 : 14
    4Redcliffe Dolphins (6)PNG Hunters (7)32 : 12
    5Norths Devils (2)Townsville (3)24 : 12
    8Sunshine Coast Falcons (5)Ipswich (8)24 : 25

    Quarter-finals
    1Burleigh (1)Bye
    2Townsville (3)Redcliffe Dolphins (6)16 : 22
    3Norths Devils (2)Bye
    4Wynnum Manly (4)Ipswich (8)34 : 12

    Semi-finals
    1Burleigh (1)Redcliffe Dolphins (6)18 : 16
    2Norths Devils (2)Wynnum Manly (4)18 : 16

    Final
    1Burleigh (1)Norths Devils (2)
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