Southampton vs Swansea City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals
Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	0.27
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
19	6
Shots on Goal
7	1
Shots off Goal
7	4
Blocked Shots
5	1
Big Chances
7	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Shots inside the Box
15	2
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
Free Kicks
7	14
Offsides
3	0
Fouls
14	7
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
11	18
Touches in the Opposition Box
35	11
Passes
88% (402/457)	85% (395/466)
Passes in the final third
81% (95/118)	72% (51/71)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	0% (0/13)
Tackles
31% (4/13)	71% (12/17)
Clearances Total
13	10
Interceptions
4	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Sulemana K. ⚽, Ugochukwu L. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Dibling T. ⚽, Sulemana K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Grimes M. 🟨,
65', 3 - 0, Dibling T. ⚽,
66', Grimes M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
66', Christie C. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
66', Franco G. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
67', Sulemana K. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
67', Dibling T. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
67', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
73', Bednarek J. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
78', Allen J. 🟨,
79', Eom J. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
79', Ronald ↓, Ginnelly J. ↑,
86', Aribo J. ↓, Lallana A. ↑,
90+2', Manning R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Southampton
53.3%

Draw
24.1%

Swansea City
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Southampton - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.95 ↓ (4.03)	4.24 ↑ (4.17)	4.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Southampton - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Swansea will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 15.2% – 64.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 5.
S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Swansea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match S`hampton is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26:9 (average 1.6:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.7:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Swansea City?

Southampton has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Southampton?

Swansea City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Swansea City were as follows:

20.01.2024 Swansea City - Southampton 1:3

26.12.2023 Southampton - Swansea City 5:0

Latest results of Southampton

04.01.2025 Southampton - Brentford 0:5 ✺

29.12.2024 Crystal Palace - Southampton 2:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Southampton - West Ham United 0:1 ✺

22.12.2024 Fulham - Southampton 0:0 ✺

18.12.2024 Southampton - Liverpool 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

04.01.2025 Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺

01.01.2025 Portsmouth - Swansea City 4:0 ✺

29.12.2024 Swansea City - Luton Town 2:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers 3:0 ✺

21.12.2024 Hull City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rossington Main	FC United	0 : 4
2	Bishop Auckland	Chadderton	1 : 3
3	Macclesfield	Bye
4	Atherton R.	Atherton	5 : 2
5	Curzon Ashton	Bye
6	Hebburn Town	Longridge Town	1 : 0
7	Workington	Stalybridge	2 : 3
8	Bye	Chester
9	Widnes	Congleton (WO.)
10	Bye	Chorley
11	Silsden	Bootle	2 : 4, 0 : 0
12	Bye	Darlington
13	Radcliffe	Bye
14	Bye	Southport
15	West Auckland	Wythenshawe FC	3 : 1
16	Bye	Spennymoor
17	Hyde	Prescot	1 : 0, 2 : 2
18	Lancaster	Whitby	1 : 2
19	South Shields	Bye
20	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley	1 : 4
21	Kendal	Dunston	0 : 1
22	Wombwell Town	Stocksbridge	1 : 3
23	Pickering Town	Redcar Athletic	5 : 2
24	West D. & C.	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
25	AFC Fylde	Bye
26	Warrington	Bamber Bridge	0 : 3
27	Avro	Nantwich	0 : 2, 1 : 1
28	Trafford	Stockton	2 : 1
29	Newcastle Blue Star	Heaton Stannington	1 : 0
30	Bye	Marine
31	Morpeth	Pontefract	2 : 1
32	Witton	Shildon	3 : 0, 3 : 3
33	Hallam	Ashton Utd	2 : 2
34	Bye	Scarborough
35	Kidsgrove	Racing Club Warwick	1 : 2
36	Evesham	Bromsgrove	5 : 2
37	Worcester	Chasetown	2 : 3, 1 : 1
38	Mangotsfield	Banbury	0 : 1
39	AFC Telford	Bye
40	Bye	Kidderminster
41	Alvechurch	Barwell	4 : 2
42	Bye	Leamington
43	Bourne	Shepshed	1 : 2, 0 : 0
44	Stamford	Coventry Sphinx	1 : 0
45	Corby	Gainsborough	1 : 2
46	Rushall	Atherstone	5 : 1
47	Boston Town	Sporting Khalsa	0 : 2, 1 : 1
48	Bye	Hereford
49	Coleshill	Worcester Raiders	2 : 1
50	Hednesford	Basford	3 : 1
51	Buxton	Bye
52	Redditch	Skegness Town	5 : 0
53	Ilkeston	Spalding United	1 : 2
54	Bye	Alfreton
55	Quorn	Sherwood Colliery	8 : 0
56	Long Eaton	Kettering	1 : 4
57	Matlock	Bottesford	4 : 1
58	Carlton Town	Cleethorpes	3 : 0
59	Harborough	Leek	3 : 0, 0 : 0
60	Bye	Worksop
61	Eastwood Community	Grimsby Borough	1 : 2
62	Halesowen	Stratford	3 : 0, 1 : 1
63	Sutton Coldfield	Abbey Hulton	3 : 2, 2 : 2
64	Hanley Town	Stourbridge	0 : 2
65	Redbridge	Royston	1 : 2
66	Brentwood	Leighton Town	2 : 1
67	Brightlingsea	Bury Town	2 : 3
68	Newmarket	Woodford Town	2 : 3
69	Potters Bar	Hitchin	0 : 2, 2 : 2
70	Aylesbury Vale	St. Albans	1 : 3
71	Cheshunt	Leiston	1 : 2
72	Knaphill	Hackney Wick	1 : 2
73	Histon	Mulbarton Wanderers	2 : 3
74	Witham	Lowestoft	3 : 2
75	Bedford	Bye
76	Bye	Dag & Red
77	Enfield FC	Ilford	3 : 1
78	Bye	Enfield Town
79	Chesham	Bye
80	Bye	Kingu2019s Lynn
81	Chelmsford	Bye
82	Bowers & Pitsea	Hertford	1 : 2
83	Sudbury	Mildenhall	4 : 0
84	Aveley	Hashtag	3 : 0
85	Hemel Hempstead	Bye
86	Real Bedford	Bishop's Stortford	0 : 1, 1 : 1
87	Peterborough Sports	Bye
88	Bye	Hornchurch
89	Needham Market	Tilbury	4 : 2
90	Eynesbury	Arlesey	3 : 1
91	Haverhill	Waltham Abbey	0 : 3
92	March Town	Gorleston	1 : 3
93	Maldon & Tiptree	Canvey	2 : 0
94	Stanway	Cockfosters	2 : 1
95	Billericay	Barton	4 : 1
96	Berkhamsted	St. Ives	2 : 0
97	Raynes Park Vale	Ashford U.	0 : 2
98	Chatham	Marlow	4 : 0
99	Uxbridge	Welling	1 : 2
100	Bye	Slough
101	Folkestone	Sevenoaks	3 : 0
102	Bye	Maidstone
103	Farnborough	Bye
104	Bye	Dover
105	Dorking	Bye
106	Carshalton	Wingate & Finchley	2 : 3, 0 : 0
107	Eastbourne Boro	Bye
108	Epsom	Risborough	2 : 1
109	Wokingham	Burgess Hill	1 : 5
110	Erith Town	Farnham	0 : 3
111	Burnham FC	Jersey Bulls	0 : 3
112	Bye	Worthing
113	Cray Wanderers	Hanwell Town	0 : 1, 2 : 2
114	Bedfont Sports	Littlehampton	4 : 3
115	Chertsey	Thame	2 : 1
116	Ramsgate	Cray Valley	1 : 2
117	Westfield	Sheppey United	2 : 0
118	Bye	Horsham FC
119	Bracknell	Dartford	2 : 0, 2 : 2
120	Tadley	Weymouth	4 : 2
121	Hayes & Yeading	Whitehawk	1 : 1
122	Three Bridges	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
123	Maidenhead	Bye
124	Faversham	Hastings	3 : 0, 2 : 2
125	Ebbsfleet	Bye
126	Ashford Town	Whyteleafe	3 : 2
127	Tower Hamlets	Ascot	4 : 1
128	Flackwell	Lewes	2 : 1
129	Deal	Cobham	2 : 0
130	Beckenham	Egham	2 : 3
131	Dulwich Hamlet	Whitstable Town	2 : 3
132	Havant & W	Chichester	0 : 1
133	Hampton & Richmond	Bye
134	Sittingbourne	Croydon Ath.	1 : 2
135	Steyning Town	Lancing	5 : 0
136	Bye	Tonbridge
137	Winchester	Fareham	0 : 1, 0 : 0
138	Fairford	Sholing	0 : 2
139	Tiverton	Taunton	3 : 4
140	Bye	Weston-super-Mare
141	Bishops Cleeve	Wimborne	2 : 5
142	Bye	Bath
143	Falmouth Town	Brixham	0 : 5
144	Slimbridge	Dorchester	0 : 1
145	Gloucester	Portchester	2 : 0, 1 : 1
146	Bye	Chippenham
147	Salisbury	Bye
148	Hythe & Dibden	Laverstock & Ford	1 : 2
149	Gosport	Basingstoke	2 : 1
150	Didcot	Poole	1 : 2, 1 : 1
151	AFC Totton	Bye
152	Bye	Torquay
153	Hungerford	AFC Stoneham	3 : 0
154	Tavistock	Swindon S	1 : 4
155	Merthyr Town	Bye
156	Royal Wootton	Torpoint	1 : 3
157	Westbury United	Yate Town	3 : 2, 2 : 2
158	Bye	Oxford City
159	Shaftesbury Town	Exmouth Town	1 : 1
160	Plymouth Parkway	Frome	0 : 4

Quarter-finals

1	FC United	Chadderton
2	Macclesfield	Atherton R.
3	Curzon Ashton	Hebburn Town
4	Stalybridge	Chester
5	Congleton	Chorley
6	Bootle	Darlington
7	Radcliffe	Southport
8	West Auckland	Spennymoor
9	Hyde	Whitby
10	South Shields	Guiseley
11	Dunston	Stocksbridge
12	Pickering Town	Runcorn Linnets
13	AFC Fylde	Bamber Bridge
14	Nantwich	Trafford
15	Newcastle Blue Star	Marine
16	Morpeth	Witton
17	TBD #33	Scarborough
18	Racing Club Warwick	Evesham
19	Chasetown	Banbury
20	AFC Telford	Kidderminster
21	Alvechurch	Leamington
22	Shepshed	Stamford
23	Gainsborough	Rushall
24	Sporting Khalsa	Hereford
25	Coleshill	Hednesford
26	Buxton	Redditch
27	Spalding United	Alfreton
28	Quorn	Kettering
29	Matlock	Carlton Town
30	Harborough	Worksop
31	Grimsby Borough	Halesowen
32	Sutton Coldfield	Stourbridge
33	Royston	Brentwood
34	Bury Town	Woodford Town
35	Hitchin	St. Albans
36	Leiston	Hackney Wick
37	Mulbarton Wanderers	Witham
38	Bedford	Dag & Red
39	Enfield FC	Enfield Town
40	Chesham	Kingu2019s Lynn
41	Chelmsford	Hertford
42	Sudbury	Aveley
43	Hemel Hempstead	Bishop's Stortford
44	Peterborough Sports	Hornchurch
45	Needham Market	Eynesbury
46	Waltham Abbey	Gorleston
47	Maldon & Tiptree	Stanway
48	Billericay	Berkhamsted
49	Ashford U.	Chatham
50	Welling	Slough
51	Folkestone	Maidstone
52	Farnborough	Dover
53	Dorking	Wingate & Finchley
54	Eastbourne Boro	Epsom
55	Burgess Hill	Farnham
56	Jersey Bulls	Worthing
57	Hanwell Town	Bedfont Sports
58	Chertsey	Cray Valley
59	Westfield	Horsham FC
60	Bracknell	Tadley
61	TBD #121	Walton & Hersham
62	Maidenhead	Faversham
63	Ebbsfleet	Ashford Town
64	Tower Hamlets	Flackwell
65	Deal	Egham
66	Whitstable Town	Chichester
67	Hampton & Richmond	Croydon Ath.
68	Steyning Town	Tonbridge
69	Fareham	Sholing
70	Taunton	Weston-super-Mare
71	Wimborne	Bath
72	Brixham	Dorchester
73	Gloucester	Chippenham
74	Salisbury	Laverstock & Ford
75	Gosport	Poole
76	AFC Totton	Torquay
77	Hungerford	Swindon S
78	Merthyr Town	Torpoint
79	Westbury United	Oxford City
80	TBD #159	Frome

Which TV channels are streaming of Southampton - Swansea City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Premier League
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	U-NEXT
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV6
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	FPT Play
Wales	BBC Wales
World	Disney+