Ipswich Town vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Ipswich Town - Southampton
Result
1:1
17/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
Ipswich Town - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (269/339)82% (286/350)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.58
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
187
Passes
79% (269/339)82% (286/350)
Long passes
45% (20/44)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)76% (69/91)
Crosses
35% (9/26)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.65
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
720
Tackles
67% (8/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4937
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.580.17
Goals prevented
-0.420.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Harwood-Bellis T. (Own goal),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Robinson J. , Fraser R. (A),
  • 41', Welington 🟨,
  • 42', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Welington , Manning R. ,
  • 69', Robinson J. , Matsuki K. ,
  • 69', Fernandes M. , Archer C. ,
  • 71', Philogene J. , Chaplin C. ,
  • 71', Clarke J. , Ogbene C. ,
  • 71', Taylor J. , Cajuste J. ,
  • 83', Armstrong A. , Dibling T. ,
  • 83', Fraser R. , Sugawara Y. ,
  • 86', Johnson B. , Young A. ,
  • 86', Matusiwa A. , Humphreys C. ,
  • 90+5', Charles S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ipswich Town
51.4%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.9% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Ipswich Town - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.02)
    3.78
    (3.53)
    4.45
    (3.58)
    1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
    • Ipswich is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • S`hampton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
    • Ipswich could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Ipswich: Akpom Ch. (Inactive) Burns W. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ipswich: Philogene J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Dibling T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Southampton were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:2
    21.09.2024 Southampton - Ipswich Town 1:1
    01.04.2024 Ipswich Town - Southampton 3:2
    19.09.2023 Southampton - Ipswich Town 0:1
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke33008:269
    2Middlesbrough33006:159
    3Coventry321012:487
    4West Brom32105:327
    5Birmingham32104:227
    6Preston32104:227
    7Leicester32014:316
    8Millwall32013:4-16
    9Bristol City31205:235
    10Southampton31114:404
    11Portsmouth31113:304
    12Watford31113:304
    13Swansea31112:204
    14Charlton31111:104
    15Hull31113:5-24
    16Blackburn31024:313
    17Norwich31024:5-13
    18Ipswich30212:3-12
    19Wrexham30125:7-21
    20Derby30125:9-41
    21Sheffield Wed30123:7-41
    22QPR30123:10-71
    23Oxford Utd30032:5-30
    24Sheffield Utd30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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