Southampton vs Bristol City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:2
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Southampton - Bristol City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.440.74
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
45
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
73
Passes
85% (443/524)85% (384/451)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.440.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.92
Total shots
108
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
73
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
237
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free kicks
915
Passes
85% (443/524)85% (384/451)
Long passes
42% (16/38)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
68% (98/145)73% (64/88)
Crosses
14% (3/22)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.39
Throw ins
1812
Fouls
1410
Tackles
55% (6/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3145
Clearances
1440
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.922.57
Goals prevented
0.920.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Manning R. (Own goal),
  • 28', Charles S. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Larin C. , Manning R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Matsuki K. , Fellows T. ,
  • 57', Archer C. , Scienza L. ,
  • 62', Downes F. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Bell S. , Horvat T. (A),
  • 71', Azaz F. , Jander C. ,
  • 71', Bree J. , Stewart R. ,
  • 72', Bell S. , Sykes M. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Stewart R. , Fellows T. (A),
  • 76', Pring C. 🟨,
  • 80', Larin C. 🟨,
  • 81', Horvat T. , Dickie R. ,
  • 87', Downes F. , Bragg C. ,
  • 90+1', Morsy S. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Dickie R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Southampton
69.3%
Draw
19.1%
Bristol City
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.2% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 23% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.
  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Southampton - Bristol City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.72)
    4.99
    (3.85)
    8.12
    (4.29)
    5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Southampton - Bristol City?
    • Users Predictions: Southampton will win (41 of 46 users predict this - 89.13%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 80.13%98.13%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • S`hampton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, S`hampton is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: McCarthy A. (Wrist Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Ankle Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol City: Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Bristol City were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1
    13.02.2024 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1
    29.11.2023 Southampton - Bristol City 1:0
    Latest results of Southampton
    18.04.2026 Swansea City - Southampton 1:2
    11.04.2026 Southampton - Derby County 2:1
    07.04.2026 Wrexham - Southampton 1:5
    04.04.2026 Southampton - Arsenal 2:1
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Millwall (3)Hull (6)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Southampton (4)Middlesbrough (5)2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Hull (6)Middlesbrough (5)1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Southampton - Bristol City?
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