Result
2:2
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (443/524) | 85% (384/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (443/524) | 85% (384/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/145) | 73% (64/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Manning R. (Own goal),
- 28', Charles S. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Larin C. ⚽, Manning R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Matsuki K. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
- 57', Archer C. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
- 62', Downes F. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Bell S. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 71', Azaz F. ↓, Jander C. ↑,
- 71', Bree J. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 72', Bell S. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Stewart R. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
- 76', Pring C. 🟨,
- 80', Larin C. 🟨,
- 81', Horvat T. ↓, Dickie R. ↑,
- 87', Downes F. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
- 90+1', Morsy S. 🟨,
- 90+8', Dickie R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Southampton 69.3% | Draw 19.1% | Bristol City 11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Southampton - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.72) |
4.99 ↑ (3.85) |
8.12 ↑ (4.29) |
5% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Southampton - Bristol City?
- Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(41 of 46 users predict this - 89.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 98.13%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- S`hampton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, S`hampton is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: McCarthy A.
(Wrist Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R.
(Ankle Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol City: Williams J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Bristol City?
Southampton has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Southampton?
Bristol City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Bristol City were as follows:
21.10.2025
Bristol City
-
Southampton
3:1
13.02.2024
Bristol City
-
Southampton
3:1
29.11.2023
Southampton
-
Bristol City
1:0
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Bristol City
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Millwall (3) | Hull (6) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Southampton (4) | Middlesbrough (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Hull (6) | Middlesbrough (5) | 1 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Southampton - Bristol City?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |