South West Queensland Thunder vs Logan Lightning: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian Queensland Premier League South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Queensland Premier League - Round 17
South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
42
Total shots
118
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Austin J. ,

Chances of winning


South West Queensland Thunder
25%
Draw
20.4%
Logan Lightning
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 21.6% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 21.5% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South West Queensland Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South West Queensland Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    4.44
    (4.2)
    1.66
    (1.69)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).
    • SWQ Thunder is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Logan Lightning has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • SWQ Thunder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Logan Lightning is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SWQ Thunder won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, SWQ Thunder won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Logan Lightning - South West Queensland Thunder 4:2
    23.06.2024 South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning 1:2
    Latest results of Logan Lightning
    Australian Queensland Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Brisbane Strikers18122448:252338
    2Rochedale16103345:182733
    3Broadbeach Utd1795343:251832
    4Magic United17101650:262431
    5Caboolture1893642:251730
    6Logan Lightning1682637:32526
    7Redlands1875629:42-1326
    8Holland Park Hawks1763834:36-221
    9Ipswich1755723:22120
    10SWQ Thunder17411218:50-3213
    11Capalaba18321324:49-2511
    12Southside Eagles17321216:59-4311

          Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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